Agtira AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.37
| AGTIRA-B | 1.37 0.16 13.22% |
Agtira |
Agtira AB Target Price Odds to finish over 1.37
The tendency of Agtira Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.37 | 90 days | 1.37 | about 84.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agtira AB to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.9 (This Agtira AB probability density function shows the probability of Agtira Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agtira AB has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agtira AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agtira AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Agtira AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agtira AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agtira AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agtira AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agtira AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agtira AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agtira AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agtira AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agtira AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Agtira AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agtira AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agtira AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agtira AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agtira AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agtira AB may become a speculative penny stock |
Agtira AB Technical Analysis
Agtira AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agtira Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agtira AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agtira Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agtira AB Predictive Forecast Models
Agtira AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agtira AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agtira AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agtira AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agtira AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agtira AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agtira AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agtira AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agtira AB may become a speculative penny stock |