Agba Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.2
| AGBA Stock | USD 1.14 0.11 10.68% |
AGBA |
AGBA Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 1.2
The tendency of AGBA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.20 or more in 90 days |
| 1.14 | 90 days | 1.20 | about 43.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGBA Acquisition to move over $ 1.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.38 (This AGBA Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of AGBA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AGBA Acquisition price to stay between its current price of $ 1.14 and $ 1.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AGBA Acquisition has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AGBA Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AGBA Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AGBA Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0153, implying that it can generate a 0.0153 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AGBA Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AGBA Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGBA Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGBA Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AGBA Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AGBA Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AGBA Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AGBA Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AGBA Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0084 |
AGBA Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AGBA Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AGBA Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AGBA Acquisition had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AGBA Acquisition may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AGBA Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AGBA Acquisition currently holds 18.68 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AGBA Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about AGBA Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 55.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.6 M. | |
| AGBA Acquisition currently holds about 85.62 K in cash with (42.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Whats Happening With AGBA Stock |
AGBA Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AGBA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AGBA Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGBA Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.7 M |
AGBA Acquisition Technical Analysis
AGBA Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AGBA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AGBA Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing AGBA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AGBA Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
AGBA Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many AGBA Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AGBA Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AGBA Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about AGBA Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AGBA Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AGBA Acquisition had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AGBA Acquisition may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AGBA Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AGBA Acquisition currently holds 18.68 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AGBA Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about AGBA Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 55.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.6 M. | |
| AGBA Acquisition currently holds about 85.62 K in cash with (42.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Whats Happening With AGBA Stock |
Check out AGBA Acquisition Backtesting, AGBA Acquisition Valuation, AGBA Acquisition Correlation, AGBA Acquisition Hype Analysis, AGBA Acquisition Volatility, AGBA Acquisition History as well as AGBA Acquisition Performance. For information on how to trade AGBA Stock refer to our How to Trade AGBA Stock guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGBA Acquisition. If investors know AGBA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGBA Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.34) | Revenue Per Share 0.278 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.72) | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (16.15) |
The market value of AGBA Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGBA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGBA Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGBA Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGBA Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGBA Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGBA Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGBA Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGBA Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.