Trex Acquisition OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TRXA Stock  USD 1.80  0.00  0.00%   
Trex OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Trex Acquisition stock prices and determine the direction of Trex Acquisition Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Trex Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Trex Acquisition's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Trex Acquisition, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Trex Acquisition Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Trex Acquisition shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Trex Acquisition's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Trex Acquisition and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Trex Acquisition's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Trex Acquisition Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Trex Acquisition based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Trex Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trex Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Trex Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Trex Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32.

Trex Acquisition after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trex Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.

Trex Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Trex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Trex Acquisition polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Trex Acquisition Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Trex Acquisition Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Trex Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trex OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trex Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Trex Acquisition OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Trex Acquisition  Trex Acquisition Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Trex Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Trex Acquisition's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trex Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 32.41, respectively. We have considered Trex Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.80
2.03
Expected Value
32.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trex Acquisition otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trex Acquisition otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7865
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2675
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2927
SAESum of the absolute errors16.3176
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Trex Acquisition historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Trex Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trex Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trex Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.8032.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.1132.48
Details

Trex Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Trex Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trex Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Trex Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Trex Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Trex Acquisition's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trex Acquisition's historical news coverage. Trex Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 32.17, respectively. We have considered Trex Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.80
1.80
After-hype Price
32.17
Upside
Trex Acquisition is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trex Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Trex Acquisition OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Trex Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trex Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trex Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  4.24 
30.37
 0.00  
  37.97 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.80
1.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Trex Acquisition Hype Timeline

Trex Acquisition Corp is at this time traded for 1.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 37.97. Trex is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 4.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Trex Acquisition is about 339.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.77. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Trex Acquisition was at this time reported as 0.03. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. Trex Acquisition Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1000 split on the 20th of March 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trex Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.

Trex Acquisition Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Trex Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trex Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Trex Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trex Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SSHTWireless Data Solutions 29.91 12 per month 21.34  0.08  78.95 (28.57) 283.91 
ELLHElah Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.69 (4.62) 12.29 
GLLIGlobalink Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.17 (4.25) 89.30 
SLTNSilverton Energy 0.00 0 per month 13.62  0.13  26.67 (14.40) 255.77 
LRGRLuminar Media Group 29.31 4 per month 6.41  0.15  20.31 (11.43) 37.61 
QMCIQuotemedia 29.77 4 per month 0.00 (0.03) 7.69 (7.14) 44.96 
STLYHG Holdings 1.34 7 per month 1.87 (0.01) 1.32 (3.26) 27.68 
PCMCPublic Company Management(0.79)18 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  184.82 
TCRITechCom 0.00 0 per month 14.18  0.12  15.79 (40.00) 4,140 
GVFFGreenville Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 0.00 (0.15) 8.83 

Other Forecasting Options for Trex Acquisition

For every potential investor in Trex, whether a beginner or expert, Trex Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trex OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trex Acquisition's price trends.

Trex Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trex Acquisition otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trex Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trex Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Trex Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trex Acquisition otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trex Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trex Acquisition otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trex Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Trex Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of Trex Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trex Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trex otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Trex Acquisition

The number of cover stories for Trex Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Trex Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trex Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trex Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Trex Acquisition Short Properties

Trex Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trex Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trex Acquisition Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trex Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trex Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments104.00

Other Information on Investing in Trex OTC Stock

Trex Acquisition financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trex OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trex with respect to the benefits of owning Trex Acquisition security.