TMT Investments Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

TMT Stock   2.85  0.01  0.35%   
TMT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TMT Investments stock prices and determine the direction of TMT Investments PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of TMT Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of TMT Investments' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TMT Investments' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TMT Investments and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TMT Investments' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TMT Investments PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TMT Investments' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
17.331
Using TMT Investments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TMT Investments PLC from the perspective of TMT Investments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TMT Investments PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.88.

TMT Investments after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMT Investments to cross-verify your projections.

TMT Investments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TMT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TMT using various technical indicators. When you analyze TMT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through TMT Investments price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

TMT Investments Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TMT Investments PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TMT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TMT Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TMT Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TMT Investments  TMT Investments Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

TMT Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TMT Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TMT Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.25 and 5.34, respectively. We have considered TMT Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.85
2.80
Expected Value
5.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TMT Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TMT Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.472
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0472
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors2.8794
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as TMT Investments PLC historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for TMT Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TMT Investments PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.302.855.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.314.86
Details

TMT Investments After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TMT Investments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TMT Investments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TMT Investments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TMT Investments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TMT Investments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TMT Investments' historical news coverage. TMT Investments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.30 and 5.40, respectively. We have considered TMT Investments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.85
2.85
After-hype Price
5.40
Upside
TMT Investments is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TMT Investments PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

TMT Investments Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TMT Investments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TMT Investments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TMT Investments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.55
 0.00  
  0.60 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.85
2.85
0.00 
8,500  
Notes

TMT Investments Hype Timeline

TMT Investments PLC is at this time traded for 2.85on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.6. TMT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on TMT Investments is about 38.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.25. About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TMT Investments PLC last dividend was issued on the 18th of July 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMT Investments to cross-verify your projections.

TMT Investments Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TMT Investments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TMT Investments' future price movements. Getting to know how TMT Investments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TMT Investments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0ET5Vastned Retail Belgium 0.00 0 per month 0.70 (0.04) 1.64 (1.29) 6.38 
0N9ZEVS Broadcast Equipment 0.60 1 per month 1.28 (0.04) 1.90 (1.99) 7.83 
NBBNorman Broadbent Plc 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00 (2.02) 8.35 
BMYBloomsbury Publishing Plc(37.00)6 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.63 (2.59) 6.90 
LTILindsell Train Investment(0.1)4 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.92 (5.54) 13.97 
EVPLEverplay Group PLC(11.00)8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 2.80 (4.44) 11.02 
0HPWBroadridge Financial Solutions(2.41)10 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.90 (3.01) 8.46 
ALFAAlfa Financial Software(3.00)3 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.25 (1.76) 9.20 

Other Forecasting Options for TMT Investments

For every potential investor in TMT, whether a beginner or expert, TMT Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TMT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TMT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TMT Investments' price trends.

TMT Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TMT Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TMT Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TMT Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TMT Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TMT Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TMT Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TMT Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TMT Investments PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TMT Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of TMT Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TMT Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tmt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TMT Investments

The number of cover stories for TMT Investments depends on current market conditions and TMT Investments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TMT Investments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TMT Investments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

TMT Investments Short Properties

TMT Investments' future price predictability will typically decrease when TMT Investments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TMT Investments PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TMT Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TMT Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.2 M

Other Information on Investing in TMT Stock

TMT Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether TMT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TMT with respect to the benefits of owning TMT Investments security.