Tilray Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| TLRY Stock | USD 0.62 0.01 1.64% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tilray Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.78. Tilray Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 1.30 in 2025, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.12 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 896.7 M in 2025. Open Interest Against 2025-09-19 Tilray Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tilray's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tilray's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tilray stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tilray's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tilray's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tilray is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tilray. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tilray Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of July
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tilray Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tilray Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tilray's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tilray Stock Forecast Pattern
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Tilray Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tilray's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tilray's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.04, respectively. We have considered Tilray's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tilray stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tilray stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6355 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0292 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.061 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.779 |
Predictive Modules for Tilray
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tilray Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Tilray
For every potential investor in Tilray, whether a beginner or expert, Tilray's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tilray Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tilray. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tilray's price trends.Tilray Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tilray stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tilray could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tilray by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tilray Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tilray's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tilray's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tilray Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tilray stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tilray shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tilray stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tilray Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tilray Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tilray's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tilray's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tilray stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.22 | |||
| Variance | 38.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 33.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Tilray Stock Analysis
When running Tilray's price analysis, check to measure Tilray's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tilray is operating at the current time. Most of Tilray's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tilray's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tilray's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tilray to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.