Timberline Resources OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TLRSDelisted Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  20.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Timberline Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24. Timberline OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Timberline Resources is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Timberline Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Timberline Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Timberline Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000027, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Timberline OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Timberline Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Timberline Resources OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Timberline ResourcesTimberline Resources Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Timberline Resources otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Timberline Resources otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.5881
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0039
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0557
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2351
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Timberline Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Timberline Resources. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Timberline Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timberline Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timberline Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.060.060.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.060.060.06
Details

View Timberline Resources Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Timberline Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Timberline Resources otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Timberline Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Timberline Resources otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Timberline Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Timberline Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Timberline Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Timberline Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting timberline otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Timberline OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Timberline Resources check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Timberline Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges