Stitch Fix Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SYJ Stock  EUR 4.04  0.26  6.05%   
Stitch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stitch Fix's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Stitch Fix's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Stitch Fix, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Stitch Fix's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Stitch Fix and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Stitch Fix's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stitch Fix, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Stitch Fix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stitch Fix from the perspective of Stitch Fix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Stitch Fix on the next trading day is expected to be 4.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.29.

Stitch Fix after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 4.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stitch Fix to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Stitch Stock please use our How to Invest in Stitch Fix guide.

Stitch Fix Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stitch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stitch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stitch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Stitch Fix is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Stitch Fix Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Stitch Fix on the next trading day is expected to be 4.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stitch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stitch Fix's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stitch Fix Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Stitch Fix  Stitch Fix Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Stitch Fix Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stitch Fix's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stitch Fix's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.21 and 8.13, respectively. We have considered Stitch Fix's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.04
4.17
Expected Value
8.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stitch Fix stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stitch Fix stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.9459
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0147
MADMean absolute deviation0.1405
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors8.29
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Stitch Fix price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Stitch Fix. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Stitch Fix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stitch Fix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.084.048.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.427.38
Details

Stitch Fix After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Stitch Fix at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stitch Fix or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stitch Fix, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Stitch Fix Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Stitch Fix's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stitch Fix's historical news coverage. Stitch Fix's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.00, respectively. We have considered Stitch Fix's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.04
4.04
After-hype Price
8.00
Upside
Stitch Fix is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stitch Fix is based on 3 months time horizon.

Stitch Fix Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stitch Fix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stitch Fix backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stitch Fix, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
3.96
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.04
4.04
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Stitch Fix Hype Timeline

Stitch Fix is at this time traded for 4.04on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Stitch is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stitch Fix is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.04. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stitch Fix recorded a loss per share of 2.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stitch Fix to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Stitch Stock please use our How to Invest in Stitch Fix guide.

Stitch Fix Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Stitch Fix's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stitch Fix's future price movements. Getting to know how Stitch Fix's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stitch Fix may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Stitch Fix

For every potential investor in Stitch, whether a beginner or expert, Stitch Fix's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stitch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stitch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stitch Fix's price trends.

Stitch Fix Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stitch Fix stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stitch Fix could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stitch Fix by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stitch Fix Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stitch Fix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stitch Fix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stitch Fix stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stitch Fix entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stitch Fix Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stitch Fix's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stitch Fix's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stitch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Stitch Fix

The number of cover stories for Stitch Fix depends on current market conditions and Stitch Fix's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stitch Fix is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stitch Fix's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Stitch Stock

When determining whether Stitch Fix offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Stitch Fix's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Stitch Fix Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Stitch Fix Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stitch Fix to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Stitch Stock please use our How to Invest in Stitch Fix guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stitch Fix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stitch Fix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Stitch Fix's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.