STG International Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| STG Stock | 7,900 435.00 5.83% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STG International on the next trading day is expected to be 8,013 with a mean absolute deviation of 109.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,591. STG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast STG International stock prices and determine the direction of STG International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of STG International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of STG International's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling STG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using STG International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STG International from the perspective of STG International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STG International on the next trading day is expected to be 8,013 with a mean absolute deviation of 109.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,591. STG International after-hype prediction price | ILA 7900.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
STG |
STG International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STG using various technical indicators. When you analyze STG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
STG International Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STG International on the next trading day is expected to be 8,013 with a mean absolute deviation of 109.85, mean absolute percentage error of 24,952, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,591.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STG International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
STG International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STG International | STG International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
STG International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting STG International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STG International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8,011 and 8,016, respectively. We have considered STG International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STG International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STG International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -32.4554 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 109.8492 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0176 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6590.953 |
Predictive Modules for STG International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STG International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STG International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STG International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STG International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STG International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STG International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STG International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STG International's historical news coverage. STG International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7,897 and 7,903, respectively. We have considered STG International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STG International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STG International is based on 3 months time horizon.
STG International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STG International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STG International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STG International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7,900 | 7,900 | 0.00 |
|
STG International Hype Timeline
STG International is at this time traded for 7,900on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. STG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on STG International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7,900. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STG International to cross-verify your projections.STG International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STG International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STG International's future price movements. Getting to know how STG International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STG International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCC | Space Com | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.72 | 0.11 | 17.15 | (11.76) | 100.63 | |
| GLTL | Gilat Telecom Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.18 | 6.68 | (2.98) | 15.50 | |
| NXTM | Nextcom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.96 | (3.04) | 9.57 | |
| TAYA | Taya Inv L | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.84 | (1.75) | 6.95 | |
| GIX | Gix Internet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.78 | 0.05 | 16.37 | (11.28) | 54.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for STG International
For every potential investor in STG, whether a beginner or expert, STG International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STG International's price trends.STG International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STG International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STG International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STG International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STG International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STG International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STG International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STG International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STG International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 310.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.172507 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7714.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7776.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0562 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 403.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 435.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 73.45 |
STG International Risk Indicators
The analysis of STG International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STG International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STG International
The number of cover stories for STG International depends on current market conditions and STG International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STG International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STG International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in STG Stock
STG International financial ratios help investors to determine whether STG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STG with respect to the benefits of owning STG International security.