Spencer Pharmaceutical Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SPPH Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Spencer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Spencer Pharmaceutical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026 the rsi of Spencer Pharmaceutical's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Spencer Pharmaceutical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spencer Pharmaceutical from the perspective of Spencer Pharmaceutical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spencer Pharmaceutical on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Spencer Pharmaceutical after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spencer Pharmaceutical to cross-verify your projections. Spencer Pharmaceutical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spencer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spencer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spencer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spencer Pharmaceutical Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Spencer Pharmaceutical on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spencer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spencer Pharmaceutical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spencer Pharmaceutical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spencer Pharmaceutical | Spencer Pharmaceutical Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Spencer Pharmaceutical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spencer Pharmaceutical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spencer Pharmaceutical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Spencer Pharmaceutical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spencer Pharmaceutical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spencer Pharmaceutical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Spencer Pharmaceutical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spencer Pharmaceutical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Spencer Pharmaceutical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spencer Pharmaceutical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spencer Pharmaceutical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spencer Pharmaceutical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spencer Pharmaceutical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spencer Pharmaceutical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spencer Pharmaceutical's historical news coverage. Spencer Pharmaceutical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Spencer Pharmaceutical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spencer Pharmaceutical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spencer Pharmaceutical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spencer Pharmaceutical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spencer Pharmaceutical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spencer Pharmaceutical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spencer Pharmaceutical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Spencer Pharmaceutical Hype Timeline
Spencer Pharmaceutical is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Spencer is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spencer Pharmaceutical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Spencer Pharmaceutical had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:25 split on the 5th of October 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spencer Pharmaceutical to cross-verify your projections.Spencer Pharmaceutical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spencer Pharmaceutical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spencer Pharmaceutical's future price movements. Getting to know how Spencer Pharmaceutical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spencer Pharmaceutical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMMB | Immunotech Laboratories | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PXYN | Praxsyn Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IPAH | Interpharm Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MHTX | Manhattan Scients | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LRDSF | Lords Company Worldwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REFG | Medical Cannabis Pay | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MEDVF | Medivolve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BIOIF | Biome Grow | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBGL | Cannabis Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| OPGX | Optigenex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spencer Pharmaceutical
For every potential investor in Spencer, whether a beginner or expert, Spencer Pharmaceutical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spencer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spencer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spencer Pharmaceutical's price trends.Spencer Pharmaceutical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spencer Pharmaceutical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spencer Pharmaceutical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spencer Pharmaceutical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spencer Pharmaceutical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spencer Pharmaceutical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spencer Pharmaceutical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spencer Pharmaceutical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spencer Pharmaceutical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Spencer Pharmaceutical
The number of cover stories for Spencer Pharmaceutical depends on current market conditions and Spencer Pharmaceutical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spencer Pharmaceutical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spencer Pharmaceutical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spencer Pharmaceutical to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Spencer Stock please use our How to Invest in Spencer Pharmaceutical guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is there potential for Biotechnology market expansion? Will Spencer introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spencer Pharmaceutical. If investors know Spencer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Spencer Pharmaceutical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Spencer Pharmaceutical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spencer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spencer Pharmaceutical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spencer Pharmaceutical's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Spencer Pharmaceutical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spencer Pharmaceutical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spencer Pharmaceutical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spencer Pharmaceutical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Spencer Pharmaceutical's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.