Sweetgreen Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SG Stock  USD 16.26  1.04  6.83%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sweetgreen on the next trading day is expected to be 16.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.61. Sweetgreen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sweetgreen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, Sweetgreen's Receivables Turnover is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Sweetgreen's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.74, while Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.48. . The Sweetgreen's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 121.4 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (94.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-10-17 Sweetgreen Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sweetgreen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sweetgreen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sweetgreen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sweetgreen's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sweetgreen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sweetgreen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sweetgreen. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for Sweetgreen - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Sweetgreen prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Sweetgreen price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Sweetgreen.

Sweetgreen Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sweetgreen on the next trading day is expected to be 16.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sweetgreen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sweetgreen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sweetgreen Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sweetgreen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sweetgreen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sweetgreen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.51 and 21.05, respectively. We have considered Sweetgreen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.26
16.28
Expected Value
21.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sweetgreen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sweetgreen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0702
MADMean absolute deviation0.5268
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0362
SAESum of the absolute errors31.61
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Sweetgreen observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Sweetgreen observations.

Predictive Modules for Sweetgreen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sweetgreen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5316.2620.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0413.7718.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.8913.7315.57
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.1823.2725.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sweetgreen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sweetgreen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sweetgreen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sweetgreen.

Other Forecasting Options for Sweetgreen

For every potential investor in Sweetgreen, whether a beginner or expert, Sweetgreen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sweetgreen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sweetgreen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sweetgreen's price trends.

Sweetgreen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sweetgreen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sweetgreen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sweetgreen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sweetgreen Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sweetgreen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sweetgreen's current price.

Sweetgreen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sweetgreen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sweetgreen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sweetgreen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sweetgreen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sweetgreen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sweetgreen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sweetgreen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sweetgreen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sweetgreen to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Sweetgreen Stock please use our How to Invest in Sweetgreen guide.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sweetgreen. If investors know Sweetgreen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sweetgreen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.77)
Revenue Per Share
5.935
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.20)
The market value of Sweetgreen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sweetgreen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sweetgreen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sweetgreen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sweetgreen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sweetgreen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sweetgreen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sweetgreen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sweetgreen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.