SEI Investments Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SEIC Stock  USD 69.34  0.15  0.22%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SEI Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 69.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.35. SEI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SEI Investments stock prices and determine the direction of SEI Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SEI Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, SEI Investments' Payables Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 6.85, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.71. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 167.4 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 309.5 M.
Most investors in SEI Investments cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the SEI Investments' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets SEI Investments' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. Triple exponential smoothing for SEI Investments - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When SEI Investments prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in SEI Investments price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of SEI Investments.

SEI Investments Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SEI Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 69.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SEI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SEI Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SEI Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

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SEI Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SEI Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SEI Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.17 and 70.72, respectively. We have considered SEI Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.34
69.44
Expected Value
70.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SEI Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SEI Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1137
MADMean absolute deviation0.6501
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors38.3536
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past SEI Investments observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older SEI Investments observations.

Predictive Modules for SEI Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEI Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SEI Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.1169.3870.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.3166.5876.27
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
59.3865.2572.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.021.061.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SEI Investments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SEI Investments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SEI Investments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SEI Investments.

Other Forecasting Options for SEI Investments

For every potential investor in SEI, whether a beginner or expert, SEI Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SEI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SEI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SEI Investments' price trends.

SEI Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SEI Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SEI Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SEI Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SEI Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SEI Investments' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SEI Investments' current price.

SEI Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SEI Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SEI Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SEI Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SEI Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SEI Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of SEI Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SEI Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sei stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in SEI Stock

When determining whether SEI Investments offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SEI Investments' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sei Investments Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sei Investments Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SEI Investments to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SEI Stock refer to our How to Trade SEI Stock guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SEI Investments. If investors know SEI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SEI Investments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.18
Dividend Share
0.92
Earnings Share
3.82
Revenue Per Share
15.157
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
The market value of SEI Investments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SEI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SEI Investments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SEI Investments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SEI Investments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SEI Investments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SEI Investments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SEI Investments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SEI Investments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.