SANTANDER Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SAN Stock | 175.50 0.75 0.43% |
SANTANDER Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SANTANDER stock prices and determine the direction of SANTANDER UK 10's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SANTANDER's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of SANTANDER's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SANTANDER hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SANTANDER UK 10 from the perspective of SANTANDER response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SANTANDER UK 10 on the next trading day is expected to be 175.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.41. SANTANDER after-hype prediction price | GBX 175.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SANTANDER |
SANTANDER Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SANTANDER price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SANTANDER using various technical indicators. When you analyze SANTANDER charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SANTANDER Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SANTANDER UK 10 on the next trading day is expected to be 175.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SANTANDER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SANTANDER's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SANTANDER Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SANTANDER | SANTANDER Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SANTANDER Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SANTANDER's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SANTANDER's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 175.45 and 175.87, respectively. We have considered SANTANDER's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SANTANDER stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SANTANDER stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0207 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2442 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.406 |
Predictive Modules for SANTANDER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SANTANDER UK 10. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SANTANDER After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SANTANDER at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SANTANDER or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SANTANDER, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SANTANDER Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SANTANDER's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SANTANDER's historical news coverage. SANTANDER's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 175.29 and 175.71, respectively. We have considered SANTANDER's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SANTANDER is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SANTANDER UK 10 is based on 3 months time horizon.
SANTANDER Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SANTANDER is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SANTANDER backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SANTANDER, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
175.50 | 175.50 | 0.00 |
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SANTANDER Hype Timeline
SANTANDER UK 10 is at this time traded for 175.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. SANTANDER is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on SANTANDER is about 27.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 175.56. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SANTANDER to cross-verify your projections.SANTANDER Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SANTANDER's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SANTANDER's future price movements. Getting to know how SANTANDER's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SANTANDER may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0ILW | Fidelity National Information | (1.78) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.91 | (3.15) | 11.61 | |
| 0MKQ | SSH Communications Security | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.97 | (6.48) | 35.14 | |
| 0GZK | Ion Beam Applications | 0.18 | 4 per month | 0.85 | 0.25 | 4.48 | (2.05) | 7.17 | |
| 0LJE | Universal Display Corp | 1.72 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.36 | (3.82) | 17.08 | |
| 0J5Z | Hormel Foods Corp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 1.09 | 0.05 | 2.14 | (1.82) | 7.40 | |
| 0A2X | TAL Education Group | 1.25 | 5 per month | 2.21 | 0.01 | 7.37 | (4.51) | 22.21 | |
| 0HJI | Automatic Data Processing | 5.71 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.04 | (2.05) | 6.21 | |
| BMY | Bloomsbury Publishing Plc | (1.00) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.63 | (2.59) | 6.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for SANTANDER
For every potential investor in SANTANDER, whether a beginner or expert, SANTANDER's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SANTANDER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SANTANDER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SANTANDER's price trends.SANTANDER Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SANTANDER stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SANTANDER could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SANTANDER by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SANTANDER Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SANTANDER stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SANTANDER shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SANTANDER stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SANTANDER UK 10 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SANTANDER Risk Indicators
The analysis of SANTANDER's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SANTANDER's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting santander stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1345 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2035 | |||
| Variance | 0.0414 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.021 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.07) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SANTANDER
The number of cover stories for SANTANDER depends on current market conditions and SANTANDER's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SANTANDER is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SANTANDER's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SANTANDER Short Properties
SANTANDER's future price predictability will typically decrease when SANTANDER's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SANTANDER UK 10 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SANTANDER's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SANTANDER's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -1.4 B |
Other Information on Investing in SANTANDER Stock
SANTANDER financial ratios help investors to determine whether SANTANDER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SANTANDER with respect to the benefits of owning SANTANDER security.