RWS Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RWS Stock   87.40  0.90  1.02%   
RWS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RWS Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of RWS Holdings PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RWS Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of RWS Holdings' share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling RWS Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RWS Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of RWS Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from RWS Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RWS Holdings PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting RWS Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.45)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1386
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.1553
Wall Street Target Price
152
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Using RWS Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RWS Holdings PLC from the perspective of RWS Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RWS Holdings PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 86.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.06.

RWS Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 87.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RWS Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

RWS Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RWS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RWS using various technical indicators. When you analyze RWS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for RWS Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RWS Holdings PLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RWS Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RWS Holdings PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 86.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.42, mean absolute percentage error of 3.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RWS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RWS Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RWS Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RWS Holdings  RWS Holdings Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

RWS Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RWS Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RWS Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.84 and 88.22, respectively. We have considered RWS Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
87.40
86.03
Expected Value
88.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RWS Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RWS Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2112
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4203
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors88.0605
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RWS Holdings PLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RWS Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RWS Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RWS Holdings PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.2287.4089.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.5064.6896.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details

RWS Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of RWS Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RWS Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RWS Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

RWS Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting RWS Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RWS Holdings' historical news coverage. RWS Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.22 and 89.58, respectively. We have considered RWS Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
87.40
87.40
After-hype Price
89.58
Upside
RWS Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RWS Holdings PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

RWS Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RWS Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RWS Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RWS Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
2.19
  0.89 
  8.20 
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
87.40
87.40
0.00 
63.85  
Notes

RWS Holdings Hype Timeline

RWS Holdings PLC is at this time traded for 87.40on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.89, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -8.2. RWS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 63.85%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on RWS Holdings is about 6.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.20. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RWS Holdings PLC recorded a loss per share of 0.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. The firm had 5:1 split on the 11th of February 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RWS Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

RWS Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to RWS Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RWS Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how RWS Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RWS Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for RWS Holdings

For every potential investor in RWS, whether a beginner or expert, RWS Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RWS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RWS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RWS Holdings' price trends.

RWS Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RWS Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RWS Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RWS Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RWS Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RWS Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RWS Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RWS Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RWS Holdings PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RWS Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of RWS Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RWS Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rws stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for RWS Holdings

The number of cover stories for RWS Holdings depends on current market conditions and RWS Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RWS Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RWS Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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RWS Holdings Short Properties

RWS Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when RWS Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RWS Holdings PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RWS Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RWS Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding369.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.6 M

Other Information on Investing in RWS Stock

RWS Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether RWS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RWS with respect to the benefits of owning RWS Holdings security.