RSL Electronics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RSEL Stock | ILS 1,720 20.00 1.18% |
RSL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RSL Electronics stock prices and determine the direction of RSL Electronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RSL Electronics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of RSL Electronics' stock price is about 66 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling RSL, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RSL Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RSL Electronics from the perspective of RSL Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RSL Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 1,554 with a mean absolute deviation of 49.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,011. RSL Electronics after-hype prediction price | ILA 1720.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RSL |
RSL Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RSL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RSL using various technical indicators. When you analyze RSL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RSL Electronics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RSL Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 1,554 with a mean absolute deviation of 49.37, mean absolute percentage error of 3,911, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,011.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RSL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RSL Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RSL Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RSL Electronics | RSL Electronics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RSL Electronics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RSL Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RSL Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,551 and 1,558, respectively. We have considered RSL Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RSL Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RSL Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 126.382 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 49.3671 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0377 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3011.3939 |
Predictive Modules for RSL Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RSL Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RSL Electronics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RSL Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RSL Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RSL Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RSL Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RSL Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RSL Electronics' historical news coverage. RSL Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,717 and 1,723, respectively. We have considered RSL Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RSL Electronics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RSL Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
RSL Electronics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RSL Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RSL Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RSL Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.80 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,720 | 1,720 | 0.00 |
|
RSL Electronics Hype Timeline
RSL Electronics is at this time traded for 1,720on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RSL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.8%. %. The volatility of related hype on RSL Electronics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,720. About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 829.03. RSL Electronics last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RSL Electronics to cross-verify your projections.RSL Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RSL Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RSL Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how RSL Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RSL Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GKL | Global Knafaim Leasing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.40 | (2.11) | 14.24 | |
| LHIS | Lachish | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.09 | 4.27 | (3.37) | 9.14 | |
| PNRG | Phinergy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.13 | 0.02 | 6.53 | (7.47) | 30.87 | |
| ARAN | Aran Research and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.68 | 0.19 | 7.22 | (4.56) | 17.58 | |
| AMAN | Amanet Management Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.20 | 4.04 | (1.51) | 12.51 | |
| FRDN | Fridenson | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.13 | 3.79 | (3.58) | 23.55 | |
| BIRM | Birman Wood and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.54 | 0.01 | 4.30 | (4.87) | 18.18 | |
| AUGN | Augwind Energy Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.07 | 8.75 | (5.40) | 32.75 | |
| ELSPC | Elspec | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | (0.01) | 4.39 | (3.46) | 10.92 | |
| THES | Thirdeye Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.30 | 0.27 | 13.39 | (4.78) | 20.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for RSL Electronics
For every potential investor in RSL, whether a beginner or expert, RSL Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RSL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RSL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RSL Electronics' price trends.RSL Electronics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RSL Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RSL Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RSL Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RSL Electronics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RSL Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RSL Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RSL Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RSL Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
RSL Electronics Risk Indicators
The analysis of RSL Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RSL Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rsl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.79 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RSL Electronics
The number of cover stories for RSL Electronics depends on current market conditions and RSL Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RSL Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RSL Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in RSL Stock
RSL Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether RSL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RSL with respect to the benefits of owning RSL Electronics security.