Cohen Steers Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RFI Fund  USD 12.42  0.17  1.35%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cohen Steers Total on the next trading day is expected to be 12.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.20. Cohen Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cohen Steers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Cohen Steers Total is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Cohen Steers 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of November 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cohen Steers Total on the next trading day is expected to be 12.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cohen Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cohen Steers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cohen Steers Fund Forecast Pattern

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Cohen Steers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cohen Steers' Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cohen Steers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.56 and 13.66, respectively. We have considered Cohen Steers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.42
12.61
Expected Value
13.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cohen Steers fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cohen Steers fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.0288
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -9.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.1264
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2025
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Cohen Steers. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Cohen Steers Total and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Cohen Steers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cohen Steers Total. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5312.5813.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3112.3613.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.4712.7212.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cohen Steers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cohen Steers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cohen Steers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cohen Steers Total.

Other Forecasting Options for Cohen Steers

For every potential investor in Cohen, whether a beginner or expert, Cohen Steers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cohen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cohen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cohen Steers' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cohen Steers Total Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cohen Steers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cohen Steers' current price.

Cohen Steers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cohen Steers fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cohen Steers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cohen Steers fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Cohen Steers Total entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cohen Steers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cohen Steers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cohen Steers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cohen fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Cohen Fund

Cohen Steers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cohen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cohen with respect to the benefits of owning Cohen Steers security.
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