Roebuck Food Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RFG Stock | 20.00 1.25 6.67% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roebuck Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.50. Roebuck Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Roebuck Food stock prices and determine the direction of Roebuck Food Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Roebuck Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Roebuck Food's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.627 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
Using Roebuck Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roebuck Food Group from the perspective of Roebuck Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roebuck Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.50. Roebuck Food after-hype prediction price | GBX 20.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Roebuck |
Roebuck Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roebuck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roebuck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roebuck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roebuck Food Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roebuck Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roebuck Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roebuck Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roebuck Food Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roebuck Food | Roebuck Food Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Roebuck Food Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Roebuck Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roebuck Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.72 and 21.28, respectively. We have considered Roebuck Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roebuck Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roebuck Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3947 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0583 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0583 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5 |
Predictive Modules for Roebuck Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roebuck Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roebuck Food After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Roebuck Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roebuck Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Roebuck Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Roebuck Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Roebuck Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roebuck Food's historical news coverage. Roebuck Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.80 and 21.36, respectively. We have considered Roebuck Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Roebuck Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roebuck Food Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Roebuck Food Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Roebuck Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roebuck Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roebuck Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.28 | 0.08 | 187.69 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.00 | 20.08 | 0.40 |
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Roebuck Food Hype Timeline
Roebuck Food Group is at this time traded for 20.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -187.69. Roebuck is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Roebuck Food is about 0.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -167.69. The company reported the revenue of 11.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.04 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roebuck Food to cross-verify your projections.Roebuck Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Roebuck Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roebuck Food's future price movements. Getting to know how Roebuck Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roebuck Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0O76 | AP Moeller Maersk AS | 20.00 | 5 per month | 1.83 | 0.06 | 3.04 | (3.26) | 10.33 | |
| 0O77 | AP Moeller | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.83 | 0.06 | 2.65 | (3.30) | 10.73 | |
| 0QKN | Chocoladefabriken Lindt Spruengli | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.79 | (1.93) | 3.77 | |
| 0QP1 | Chocoladefabriken Lindt Spruengli | (3.34) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 1.16 | (1.97) | 4.04 | |
| 0M69 | OTP Bank Nyrt | (4,865) | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 221.33 | |
| HSBK | Halyk Bank of | 0.50 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.05 | 2.63 | (1.77) | 7.37 | |
| KAP | National Atomic Co | 2.50 | 4 per month | 2.33 | 0.17 | 6.06 | (4.75) | 18.39 | |
| 0QFP | Gedeon Richter PLC | 1.71 | 13 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Roebuck Food
For every potential investor in Roebuck, whether a beginner or expert, Roebuck Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roebuck Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roebuck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roebuck Food's price trends.Roebuck Food Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roebuck Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roebuck Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roebuck Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roebuck Food Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roebuck Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roebuck Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roebuck Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Roebuck Food Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Roebuck Food Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roebuck Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roebuck Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roebuck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5442 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Roebuck Food
The number of cover stories for Roebuck Food depends on current market conditions and Roebuck Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roebuck Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roebuck Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Roebuck Stock
Roebuck Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roebuck Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roebuck with respect to the benefits of owning Roebuck Food security.