Liveramp Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RAMP Stock  USD 30.71  0.32  1.05%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liveramp Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 30.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.83. Liveramp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Liveramp Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Liveramp Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Liveramp Holdings fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Liveramp Holdings' Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 4.14, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 2.10. . As of 11/22/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 72.7 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (129.7 M).

Liveramp Holdings Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Liveramp Holdings' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
313 M
Current Value
338.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
247.2 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
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Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Liveramp Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Liveramp Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Liveramp Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liveramp Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 30.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liveramp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liveramp Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liveramp Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Liveramp Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liveramp Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liveramp Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.10 and 32.07, respectively. We have considered Liveramp Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.71
30.09
Expected Value
32.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liveramp Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liveramp Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2079
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5218
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0201
SAESum of the absolute errors31.8314
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Liveramp Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Liveramp Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Liveramp Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liveramp Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.4130.3932.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3533.3135.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.6026.8431.08
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.3933.4037.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Liveramp Holdings

For every potential investor in Liveramp, whether a beginner or expert, Liveramp Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liveramp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liveramp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liveramp Holdings' price trends.

View Liveramp Holdings Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liveramp Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liveramp Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liveramp Holdings' current price.

Liveramp Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liveramp Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liveramp Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liveramp Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liveramp Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liveramp Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liveramp Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liveramp Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liveramp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Liveramp Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Liveramp Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Liveramp Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Liveramp Stock

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  0.68MQ MarqetaPairCorr
  0.65VHAI VHAIPairCorr
  0.56VRNS Varonis SystemsPairCorr
  0.43VERI VeritonePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Liveramp Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Liveramp Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Liveramp Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Liveramp Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Liveramp Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Liveramp Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Liveramp Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Liveramp Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Liveramp Stock Analysis

When running Liveramp Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Liveramp Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liveramp Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Liveramp Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liveramp Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liveramp Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liveramp Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.