Pure Storage Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

PSTG Stock  USD 49.72  1.23  2.41%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pure Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 52.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.62. Pure Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pure Storage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to decrease to 11.45. The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 7.93. The Pure Storage's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 88.2 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 251 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Pure Storage is based on an artificially constructed time series of Pure Storage daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Pure Storage 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pure Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 52.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42, mean absolute percentage error of 12.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pure Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pure Storage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pure Storage Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pure Storage Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pure Storage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pure Storage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.98 and 55.28, respectively. We have considered Pure Storage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
49.72
52.13
Expected Value
55.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pure Storage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pure Storage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.7972
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.837
MADMean absolute deviation2.4189
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.048
SAESum of the absolute errors130.6225
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Pure Storage 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Pure Storage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pure Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pure Storage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.5049.6252.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.9845.1054.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
48.9853.6258.26
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.0444.0048.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pure Storage

For every potential investor in Pure, whether a beginner or expert, Pure Storage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pure Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pure Storage's price trends.

Pure Storage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pure Storage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pure Storage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pure Storage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pure Storage Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pure Storage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pure Storage's current price.

Pure Storage Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pure Storage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pure Storage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pure Storage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pure Storage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pure Storage Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pure Storage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pure Storage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pure stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Pure Storage is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pure Storage's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pure Storage's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pure Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pure Storage to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Pure Stock please use our How to Invest in Pure Storage guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pure Storage. If investors know Pure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pure Storage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
0.43
Revenue Per Share
9.4
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.109
Return On Assets
0.0267
The market value of Pure Storage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pure Storage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pure Storage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pure Storage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pure Storage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pure Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pure Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pure Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.