Opko Health Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OPK Stock  USD 1.27  0.01  0.79%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Opko Health on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22. Opko Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Opko Health's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Opko Health's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Opko Health fundamentals over time.
The RSI of Opko Health's share price is above 70 as of now. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Opko, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 73

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Opko Health's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Opko Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Opko Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.33)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.31)
Wall Street Target Price
3.5583
Using Opko Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Opko Health from the perspective of Opko Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Opko Health using Opko Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Opko using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Opko Health's stock price.

Opko Health Short Interest

An investor who is long Opko Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Opko Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Opko Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
1.3948
Short Percent
0.074
Short Ratio
11
Shares Short Prior Month
31.4 M
50 Day MA
1.3472

Opko Health Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Opko Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Opko. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Opko can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Opko Health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Opko Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Opko Health.

Opko Health Implied Volatility

    
  1.44  
Opko Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Opko Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Opko Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Opko Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Opko Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Opko Health on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22.

Opko Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Opko Health to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Opko Stock please use our How to buy in Opko Stock guide.Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 5.42 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 4.87. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 838 M this year, although the value of Net Loss is projected to rise to (280.8 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Opko Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Opko Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Opko Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Opko Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Opko Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to Opko Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Opko Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Opko. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Opko Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Opko price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Opko using various technical indicators. When you analyze Opko charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Opko Health Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Opko Health's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1996-03-31
Previous Quarter
271.7 M
Current Value
415.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
94.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Opko Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Opko Health value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Opko Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Opko Health on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Opko Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Opko Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Opko Health Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Opko HealthOpko Health Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Opko Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Opko Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Opko Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.21, respectively. We have considered Opko Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.27
1.25
Expected Value
3.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Opko Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Opko Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6594
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0199
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors1.2156
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Opko Health. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Opko Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Opko Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Opko Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.283.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.863.83
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.243.563.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.08-0.08-0.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Opko Health

For every potential investor in Opko, whether a beginner or expert, Opko Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Opko Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Opko. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Opko Health's price trends.

Opko Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Opko Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Opko Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Opko Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Opko Health Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Opko Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Opko Health's current price.

Opko Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Opko Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Opko Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Opko Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Opko Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Opko Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Opko Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Opko Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting opko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Opko Health is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Opko Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Opko Health Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Opko Health Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Opko Health to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Opko Stock please use our How to buy in Opko Stock guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Opko Health. If investors know Opko will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Opko Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Earnings Share
(0.24)
Revenue Per Share
0.881
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.13)
The market value of Opko Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Opko that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Opko Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Opko Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Opko Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Opko Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Opko Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Opko Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Opko Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.