Orla Mining Stock Forward View
| OLA Stock | CAD 20.54 2.36 10.31% |
Orla Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Orla Mining's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Orla Mining's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Orla Mining fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of Orla Mining's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orla Mining, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.333 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3002 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8836 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5048 | Wall Street Target Price 27.4637 |
Using Orla Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orla Mining from the perspective of Orla Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orla Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 21.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.87. Orla Mining after-hype prediction price | CAD 22.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Orla |
Orla Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Orla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Orla Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Orla Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 21.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orla Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orla Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Orla Mining Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Orla Mining | Orla Mining Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Orla Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Orla Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orla Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.63 and 25.70, respectively. We have considered Orla Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orla Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orla Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0891 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8366 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0429 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 51.8707 |
Predictive Modules for Orla Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orla Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orla Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Orla Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orla Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orla Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Orla Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Orla Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orla Mining's historical news coverage. Orla Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.59 and 27.21, respectively. We have considered Orla Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Orla Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orla Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Orla Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orla Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orla Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orla Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 4.54 | 0.39 | 0.16 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.54 | 22.90 | 0.00 |
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Orla Mining Hype Timeline
Orla Mining is now traded for 20.54on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Orla is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orla Mining is about 1891.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.70. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2026. Orla Mining had 1:5 split on the 7th of January 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orla Mining to cross-verify your projections.Orla Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Orla Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orla Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Orla Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orla Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WGX | Westgold Resources Limited | 0.06 | 8 per month | 2.07 | 0.23 | 5.21 | (4.82) | 12.25 | |
| NG | NovaGold Resources | 0.03 | 1 per month | 2.45 | 0.12 | 5.85 | (4.56) | 15.40 | |
| KNT | K92 Mining | 0.10 | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.32 | 4.25 | (3.50) | 9.36 | |
| TXG | Torex Gold Resources | 0.56 | 10 per month | 2.27 | 0.16 | 5.24 | (4.28) | 12.26 | |
| DPM | Dundee Precious Metals | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.89 | 0.39 | 4.44 | (2.22) | 8.93 | |
| NGEX | NGEx Minerals | 0.73 | 8 per month | 2.28 | 0.17 | 5.08 | (4.17) | 12.93 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.16 | 0.18 | 4.01 | (3.65) | 9.69 | |
| CG | Centerra Gold | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.34 | 5.24 | (2.99) | 10.74 | |
| SEA | Seabridge Gold | 0.84 | 8 per month | 2.76 | 0.16 | 5.83 | (4.54) | 19.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Orla Mining
For every potential investor in Orla, whether a beginner or expert, Orla Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orla Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orla. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orla Mining's price trends.Orla Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orla Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orla Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orla Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Orla Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orla Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orla Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orla Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orla Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 100733.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.37) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.36) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.36 |
Orla Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Orla Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orla Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orla stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Variance | 17.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Orla Mining
The number of cover stories for Orla Mining depends on current market conditions and Orla Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orla Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orla Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Orla Mining Short Properties
Orla Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orla Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orla Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orla Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orla Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 333.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 160.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orla Mining to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Orla Stock, please use our How to Invest in Orla Mining guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.