NightFood Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NGTF Stock | USD 0.04 0 3.03% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NightFood Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30. NightFood OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NightFood Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the value of rsi of NightFood Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NightFood Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using NightFood Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NightFood Holdings from the perspective of NightFood Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NightFood Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30. NightFood Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NightFood |
NightFood Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NightFood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NightFood using various technical indicators. When you analyze NightFood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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NightFood Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NightFood Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000051, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NightFood OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NightFood Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NightFood Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NightFood Holdings | NightFood Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NightFood Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NightFood Holdings' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NightFood Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 10.89, respectively. We have considered NightFood Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NightFood Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NightFood Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.3802 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.005 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0882 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3013 |
Predictive Modules for NightFood Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NightFood Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NightFood Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NightFood Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NightFood Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NightFood Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of NightFood Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NightFood Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NightFood Holdings' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NightFood Holdings' historical news coverage. NightFood Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.01, respectively. We have considered NightFood Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NightFood Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NightFood Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
NightFood Holdings OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as NightFood Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NightFood Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NightFood Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 10.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.04 | 0.04 | 5.88 |
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NightFood Holdings Hype Timeline
NightFood Holdings is now traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NightFood is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.88%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on NightFood Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. NightFood Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NightFood Holdings to cross-verify your projections.NightFood Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NightFood Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NightFood Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how NightFood Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NightFood Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FPAFF | First Pacific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.58 | (4.71) | 30.59 | |
| FPAFY | First Pacific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.50 | (3.65) | 12.23 | |
| ACOPF | The a2 Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.05 | 5.06 | (2.88) | 16.59 | |
| CHFLF | China Feihe Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.80 | |
| NIPMY | NH Foods Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.47 | |
| GLAPF | Glanbia plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.48 | |
| YMZBY | Yamazaki Baking Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TATYF | Tate Lyle plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.60 | (1.80) | 5.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for NightFood Holdings
For every potential investor in NightFood, whether a beginner or expert, NightFood Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NightFood OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NightFood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NightFood Holdings' price trends.NightFood Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NightFood Holdings otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NightFood Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NightFood Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NightFood Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NightFood Holdings otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NightFood Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NightFood Holdings otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NightFood Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NightFood Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of NightFood Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NightFood Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nightfood otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.26 | |||
| Variance | 126.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NightFood Holdings
The number of cover stories for NightFood Holdings depends on current market conditions and NightFood Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NightFood Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NightFood Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in NightFood OTC Stock
NightFood Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether NightFood OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NightFood with respect to the benefits of owning NightFood Holdings security.