Microsoft Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| MSFT Stock | USD 472.85 0.09 0.02% |
Microsoft Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Microsoft's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.127 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.8071 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.7487 | EPS Estimate Next Year 18.6351 | Wall Street Target Price 622.5142 |
Using Microsoft hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Microsoft from the perspective of Microsoft response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Microsoft using Microsoft's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Microsoft using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Microsoft's stock price.
Microsoft Short Interest
An investor who is long Microsoft may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Microsoft and may potentially protect profits, hedge Microsoft with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 478.0343 | Short Percent 0.009 | Short Ratio 2.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 61.9 M | 50 Day MA 495.6108 |
Microsoft Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Microsoft's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Microsoft. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Microsoft can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Microsoft. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Microsoft's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Microsoft.
Microsoft Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
Microsoft's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Microsoft stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Microsoft's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Microsoft stock will not fluctuate a lot when Microsoft's options are near their expiration.
Microsoft after-hype prediction price | USD 473.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Microsoft | Build AI portfolio with Microsoft Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Microsoft Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Microsoft's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Microsoft's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Microsoft stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Microsoft's open interest, investors have to compare it to Microsoft's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Microsoft is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Microsoft. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Microsoft Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Microsoft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microsoft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Microsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.54) | 0.02 |
| Check Microsoft Volatility | Backtest Microsoft | Information Ratio |
Microsoft Trading Date Momentum
| On January 06 2026 Microsoft was traded for 472.85 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 476.07 and the lowest listed price was 469.50 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 6, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.26% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Microsoft to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Microsoft
For every potential investor in Microsoft, whether a beginner or expert, Microsoft's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Microsoft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Microsoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Microsoft's price trends.Microsoft Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Microsoft stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Microsoft could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Microsoft by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Microsoft Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Microsoft's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Microsoft's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Microsoft Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Microsoft stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Microsoft shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Microsoft stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Microsoft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Microsoft Risk Indicators
The analysis of Microsoft's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Microsoft's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting microsoft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9133 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Microsoft Stock Analysis
When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.