London Security Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LSC Stock   2,390  10.00  0.42%   
London Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast London Security stock prices and determine the direction of London Security Plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of London Security's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of London Security's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling London Security, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of London Security's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of London Security and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from London Security's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with London Security Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting London Security's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
Using London Security hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of London Security Plc from the perspective of London Security response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of London Security Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 2,604 with a mean absolute deviation of 142.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,579.

London Security after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 2390.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of London Security to cross-verify your projections.

London Security Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine London price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for London using various technical indicators. When you analyze London charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for London Security - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When London Security prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in London Security price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of London Security Plc.

London Security Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of London Security Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 2,604 with a mean absolute deviation of 142.99, mean absolute percentage error of 144,443, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,579.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict London Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that London Security's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

London Security Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest London Security  London Security Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

London Security Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting London Security's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. London Security's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,476 and 2,733, respectively. We have considered London Security's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,390
2,604
Expected Value
2,733
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of London Security stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent London Security stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 36.1256
MADMean absolute deviation142.9885
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.7066
SAESum of the absolute errors8579.3079
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past London Security observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older London Security Plc observations.

Predictive Modules for London Security

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as London Security Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.502,390241,390
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.401,608240,608
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-3,7882,5772,896
Details

London Security After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of London Security at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in London Security or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of London Security, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

London Security Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting London Security's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on London Security's historical news coverage. London Security's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.50 and 241,390, respectively. We have considered London Security's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2,390
119.50
Downside
2,390
After-hype Price
241,390
Upside
London Security is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of London Security Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

London Security Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as London Security is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading London Security backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with London Security, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  14.49 
128.91
 0.00  
  17.03 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,390
2,390
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

London Security Hype Timeline

London Security Plc is now traded for 2,390on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 17.03. London is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 14.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on London Security is about 10971.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,407. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of London Security was now reported as 13.6. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. London Security Plc had 1:100 split on the 30th of December 1994. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of London Security to cross-verify your projections.

London Security Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to London Security's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict London Security's future price movements. Getting to know how London Security's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how London Security may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BC94Samsung Electronics Co 16.00 5 per month 1.58  0.38  5.77 (3.43) 13.29 
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co 68.00 5 per month 1.55  0.38  6.03 (3.18) 11.22 
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co(15.00)5 per month 1.46  0.36  5.44 (3.23) 12.16 
TYTToyota Motor Corp(64.00)8 per month 1.30  0.10  3.26 (2.29) 10.55 
0LCVTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing 2.00 7 per month 1.55  0.19  4.96 (2.70) 10.72 
RIGDReliance Industries Limited 0.60 6 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.60 (2.66) 7.27 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp 0.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 10.30 (9.95) 107.52 
KAPNational Atomic Co 1.80 3 per month 2.74  0.17  6.45 (4.75) 16.93 

Other Forecasting Options for London Security

For every potential investor in London, whether a beginner or expert, London Security's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. London Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in London. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying London Security's price trends.

London Security Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with London Security stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of London Security could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing London Security by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

London Security Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how London Security stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading London Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying London Security stock market strength indicators, traders can identify London Security Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

London Security Risk Indicators

The analysis of London Security's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in London Security's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting london stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for London Security

The number of cover stories for London Security depends on current market conditions and London Security's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that London Security is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about London Security's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

London Security Short Properties

London Security's future price predictability will typically decrease when London Security's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of London Security Plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential London Security's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. London Security's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.6 M

Other Information on Investing in London Stock

London Security financial ratios help investors to determine whether London Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in London with respect to the benefits of owning London Security security.