LOréal SA Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| LRLCF Stock | USD 465.80 0.48 0.10% |
LOréal Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LOréal SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of LOréal SA's share price is at 57. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LOréal SA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using LOréal SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LOral SA from the perspective of LOréal SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 446.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 536.16. LOréal SA after-hype prediction price | USD 465.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LOréal |
LOréal SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LOréal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LOréal using various technical indicators. When you analyze LOréal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LOréal SA 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 446.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.77, mean absolute percentage error of 255.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 536.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LOréal Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LOréal SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LOréal SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LOréal SA | LOréal SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
LOréal SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LOréal SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LOréal SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 444.22 and 448.56, respectively. We have considered LOréal SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LOréal SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LOréal SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 88.7346 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -9.7545 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 12.7657 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0285 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 536.159 |
Predictive Modules for LOréal SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOréal SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LOréal SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LOréal SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LOréal SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LOréal SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of LOréal SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LOréal SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LOréal SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LOréal SA's historical news coverage. LOréal SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 463.64 and 467.96, respectively. We have considered LOréal SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LOréal SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LOréal SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
LOréal SA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LOréal SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LOréal SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LOréal SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.17 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 40 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 40 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
465.80 | 465.80 | 0.00 |
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LOréal SA Hype Timeline
LOréal SA is now traded for 465.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. LOréal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 135.63%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on LOréal SA is about 251.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 465.90. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. LOréal SA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2023. The firm had 10:1 split on the 3rd of July 2000. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 40 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOréal SA to cross-verify your projections.LOréal SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LOréal SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LOréal SA's future price movements. Getting to know how LOréal SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LOréal SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPAR | Inter Parfums | 3.37 | 9 per month | 2.01 | (0.03) | 2.62 | (3.84) | 8.82 | |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center | 0.11 | 9 per month | 3.11 | 0.04 | 5.63 | (6.16) | 20.89 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | 1.04 | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.1 | 3.89 | (2.95) | 8.23 | |
| RBGLY | Reckitt Benckiser Group | 1.06 | 4 per month | 0.74 | (0.04) | 1.79 | (1.34) | 4.41 | |
| CLX | The Clorox | 0.51 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.86 | (2.49) | 7.63 | |
| LRLCY | LOreal Co ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | (0) | 1.99 | (1.77) | 7.86 | |
| UL | Unilever PLC ADR | 0.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.89 | (1.81) | 8.92 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 2.08 | 7 per month | 1.22 | 0 | 2.33 | (1.92) | 10.66 | |
| ELF | ELF Beauty | 2.77 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.37 | (3.96) | 39.42 | |
| PG | Procter Gamble | (1.04) | 6 per month | 1.14 | (0.06) | 1.84 | (1.56) | 5.66 | |
| CL | Colgate Palmolive | 0.46 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.04 | 1.93 | (2.16) | 5.16 | |
| COTY | Coty Inc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.61 | (4.00) | 9.89 | |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc | 0.32 | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.11 | 2.27 | (2.09) | 15.22 | |
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | 1.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.17 | (1.59) | 17.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for LOréal SA
For every potential investor in LOréal, whether a beginner or expert, LOréal SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LOréal Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LOréal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LOréal SA's price trends.LOréal SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LOréal SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LOréal SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LOréal SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LOréal SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LOréal SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LOréal SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LOréal SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify LOral SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LOréal SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of LOréal SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LOréal SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loréal pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LOréal SA
The number of cover stories for LOréal SA depends on current market conditions and LOréal SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LOréal SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LOréal SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in LOréal Pink Sheet
LOréal SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOréal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOréal with respect to the benefits of owning LOréal SA security.