JB Hunt Stock Forward View

J1BH34 Stock   31.92  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 30.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.16. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast JB Hunt's stock prices and determine the direction of JB Hunt Transport's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of JB Hunt's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. At this time The value of RSI of JB Hunt's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 80

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JB Hunt's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JB Hunt Transport, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using JB Hunt hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JB Hunt Transport from the perspective of JB Hunt response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 30.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.16.

JB Hunt after-hype prediction price

    
  BRL 31.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

JB Hunt Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine J1BH34 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for J1BH34 using various technical indicators. When you analyze J1BH34 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for JB Hunt is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of JB Hunt Transport value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

JB Hunt Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 30.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict J1BH34 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JB Hunt's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JB Hunt Stock Forecast Pattern

JB Hunt Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JB Hunt's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JB Hunt's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.01 and 32.61, respectively. We have considered JB Hunt's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.92
30.81
Expected Value
32.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JB Hunt stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JB Hunt stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2925
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5435
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors33.1552
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of JB Hunt Transport. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict JB Hunt. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for JB Hunt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JB Hunt Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JB Hunt. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JB Hunt's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JB Hunt's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JB Hunt Transport.

JB Hunt Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of JB Hunt at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JB Hunt or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JB Hunt, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

JB Hunt Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JB Hunt is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JB Hunt backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JB Hunt, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.92
31.92
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

JB Hunt Hype Timeline

JB Hunt Transport is currently traded for 31.92on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. J1BH34 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on JB Hunt is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.92. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

JB Hunt Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to JB Hunt's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JB Hunt's future price movements. Getting to know how JB Hunt's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JB Hunt may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for JB Hunt

For every potential investor in J1BH34, whether a beginner or expert, JB Hunt's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. J1BH34 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in J1BH34. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JB Hunt's price trends.

JB Hunt Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JB Hunt stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JB Hunt could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JB Hunt by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JB Hunt Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JB Hunt stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JB Hunt shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JB Hunt stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JB Hunt Transport entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JB Hunt Risk Indicators

The analysis of JB Hunt's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JB Hunt's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting j1bh34 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for JB Hunt

The number of cover stories for JB Hunt depends on current market conditions and JB Hunt's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JB Hunt is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JB Hunt's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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