Story Crypto Coin Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

IP Crypto  USD 2.43  0.04  1.62%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Story on the next trading day is expected to be 2.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.33. Story Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Story crypto prices and determine the direction of Story's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Story's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of Story's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the crypto coin is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Story, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Story's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Story, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Story hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Story from the perspective of Story response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Story on the next trading day is expected to be 2.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.33.

Story after-hype prediction price

    
  .CC 2.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Story to cross-verify your projections.

Story Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Story price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Story using various technical indicators. When you analyze Story charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Story is based on an artificially constructed time series of Story daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Story 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Story on the next trading day is expected to be 2.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Story Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Story's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Story Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Story Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Story's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Story's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 17.36, respectively. We have considered Story's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.43
2.64
Expected Value
17.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Story crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Story crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.8899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1124
MADMean absolute deviation0.3459
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1452
SAESum of the absolute errors18.3313
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Story 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Story

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Story. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Story's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.4317.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.2616.98
Details

Story After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Story at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Story or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Story, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Story Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Story's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Story's historical news coverage. Story's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 17.15, respectively. We have considered Story's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.43
2.43
After-hype Price
17.15
Upside
Story is abnormally risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Story is based on 3 months time horizon.

Story Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Story is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Story backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Story, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
14.72
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.43
2.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Story Hype Timeline

Story is currently traded for 2.43. This cryptocurrency is not elastic to its hype. The average crypto elasticity to the hype of similar coins is 0.0. Story is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Story is about 449084.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.43. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Story to cross-verify your projections.

Story Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Story's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Story's future price movements. Getting to know how Story's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Story may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Story

For every potential investor in Story, whether a beginner or expert, Story's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Story Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Story. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Story's price trends.

Story Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Story crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Story could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Story by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Story Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Story crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Story shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Story crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Story entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Risk Indicators

The analysis of Story's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Story's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting story crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Story

The number of cover stories for Story depends on current market conditions and Story's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Story is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Story's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Story offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Story's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Story Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Story to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Story's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Story value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Story's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.