Indivior PLC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| INDV Stock | 33.54 0.56 1.70% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Indivior PLC Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 36.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.43. Indivior Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Indivior PLC's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.063 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3329 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9871 | Wall Street Target Price 45.5714 |
Using Indivior PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Indivior PLC Ordinary from the perspective of Indivior PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Indivior PLC using Indivior PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Indivior using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Indivior PLC's stock price.
Indivior PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Indivior PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Indivior PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Indivior PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 22.179 | Short Percent 0.0832 | Short Ratio 3.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.6 M | 50 Day MA 34.1473 |
Indivior PLC Ordinary Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Indivior PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Indivior. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Indivior can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Indivior PLC Ordinary. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Indivior PLC Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Indivior PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Indivior PLC Ordinary stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Indivior PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Indivior PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Indivior PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Indivior PLC Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 36.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.43. Indivior PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 32.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Indivior PLC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Indivior contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Indivior PLC Ordinary will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Indivior PLC trading at USD 33.54, that is roughly USD 0.0155 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Indivior PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Indivior PLC Ordinary options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Indivior Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Indivior PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Indivior PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Indivior PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Indivior PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to Indivior PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Indivior PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Indivior. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Indivior PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Indivior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Indivior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Indivior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Indivior PLC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Indivior PLC Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 36.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.60, mean absolute percentage error of 4.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indivior Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indivior PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Indivior PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Indivior PLC | Indivior PLC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Indivior PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Indivior PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indivior PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.13 and 39.31, respectively. We have considered Indivior PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indivior PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indivior PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.502 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5972 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0498 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 97.4317 |
Predictive Modules for Indivior PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indivior PLC Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indivior PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Indivior PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Indivior PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Indivior PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Indivior PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Indivior PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Indivior PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Indivior PLC's historical news coverage. Indivior PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.26 and 35.44, respectively. We have considered Indivior PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Indivior PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Indivior PLC Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.
Indivior PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Indivior PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Indivior PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Indivior PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 2.59 | 0.69 | 0.98 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.54 | 32.85 | 2.06 |
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Indivior PLC Hype Timeline
Indivior PLC Ordinary is currently traded for 33.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.69, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.98. Indivior is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 197.71%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Indivior PLC is about 139.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.52. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2016. Indivior PLC Ordinary had 1:5 split on the 10th of October 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Indivior PLC to cross-verify your projections.Indivior PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Indivior PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Indivior PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Indivior PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Indivior PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNTH | Lantheus Holdings | 2.70 | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0.09 | 4.16 | (2.53) | 10.15 | |
| SUPN | Supernus Pharmaceuticals | 1.04 | 12 per month | 3.53 | (0.03) | 3.24 | (2.97) | 22.07 | |
| ACAD | ACADIA Pharmaceuticals | 0.30 | 7 per month | 1.25 | 0.17 | 3.35 | (2.32) | 9.79 | |
| AMRX | Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.29 | 0.20 | 3.51 | (2.55) | 11.39 | |
| HNGE | Hinge Health | (0.42) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.16 | (3.95) | 21.22 | |
| ADMA | ADMA Biologics | (0.71) | 10 per month | 2.39 | 0.08 | 5.01 | (4.27) | 13.78 | |
| PRAX | Praxis Precision Medicines | 17.85 | 10 per month | 4.04 | 0.13 | 9.33 | (6.81) | 35.28 | |
| CRNX | Crinetics Pharmaceuticals | (1.45) | 9 per month | 2.38 | 0.11 | 4.38 | (5.14) | 17.96 | |
| VKTX | Viking Therapeutics | (0.36) | 11 per month | 3.36 | (0.02) | 7.96 | (5.46) | 19.06 | |
| OPCH | Option Care Health | (0.65) | 12 per month | 1.56 | 0.16 | 4.34 | (1.80) | 10.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Indivior PLC
For every potential investor in Indivior, whether a beginner or expert, Indivior PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indivior Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indivior. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indivior PLC's price trends.Indivior PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indivior PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indivior PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indivior PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Indivior PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indivior PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indivior PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indivior PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Indivior PLC Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Indivior PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Indivior PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indivior PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indivior stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9624 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9262 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Indivior PLC
The number of cover stories for Indivior PLC depends on current market conditions and Indivior PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Indivior PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Indivior PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Indivior PLC Short Properties
Indivior PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Indivior PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Indivior PLC Ordinary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Indivior PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indivior PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 320 M |
Additional Tools for Indivior Stock Analysis
When running Indivior PLC's price analysis, check to measure Indivior PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indivior PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Indivior PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indivior PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indivior PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indivior PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.