Fusion Fuel Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average

HTOOWDelisted Stock  USD 0  0.0006  23.08%   
Fusion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Fusion Fuel's share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fusion Fuel, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fusion Fuel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fusion Fuel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fusion Fuel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fusion Fuel Green, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fusion Fuel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fusion Fuel Green from the perspective of Fusion Fuel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fusion Fuel Green on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13.

Fusion Fuel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.002517  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Fusion Fuel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fusion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fusion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fusion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Fusion Fuel Green is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Fusion Fuel 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fusion Fuel Green on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000083, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fusion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fusion Fuel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fusion Fuel Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fusion Fuel  Fusion Fuel Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fusion Fuel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fusion Fuel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.0599
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 9.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0023
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2381
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1292
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Fusion Fuel. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Fusion Fuel Green and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Fusion Fuel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fusion Fuel Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00029.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00029.95
Details

Fusion Fuel After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fusion Fuel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fusion Fuel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fusion Fuel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fusion Fuel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fusion Fuel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fusion Fuel's historical news coverage. Fusion Fuel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 29.95, respectively. We have considered Fusion Fuel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
29.95
Upside
Fusion Fuel is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fusion Fuel Green is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fusion Fuel Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fusion Fuel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fusion Fuel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fusion Fuel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.87 
29.95
  1.00 
  0.24 
11 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
25.84 
846.05  
Notes

Fusion Fuel Hype Timeline

Fusion Fuel Green is currently traded for 0. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.0, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Fusion is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.002517 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 25.84%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.87%. The volatility of related hype on Fusion Fuel is about 35839.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.24. Fusion Fuel Green has accumulated 2.23 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fusion Fuel Green has a current ratio of 2.4, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Fusion Fuel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Fusion Fuel Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fusion Fuel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fusion Fuel's future price movements. Getting to know how Fusion Fuel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fusion Fuel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fusion Fuel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fusion Fuel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fusion Fuel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fusion Fuel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fusion Fuel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fusion Fuel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fusion Fuel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fusion Fuel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fusion Fuel Green entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fusion Fuel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fusion Fuel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fusion Fuel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fusion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fusion Fuel

The number of cover stories for Fusion Fuel depends on current market conditions and Fusion Fuel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fusion Fuel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fusion Fuel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fusion Fuel Short Properties

Fusion Fuel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fusion Fuel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fusion Fuel Green often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fusion Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fusion Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments214 K
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Consideration for investing in Fusion Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Fusion Fuel Green check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fusion Fuel's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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