Fusion Fuel Green Stock Price Prediction
| HTOO Stock | USD 4.25 0.42 8.99% |
Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year (0.47) | Wall Street Target Price 2.62 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.61) |
Using Fusion Fuel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fusion Fuel Green from the perspective of Fusion Fuel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fusion Fuel using Fusion Fuel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fusion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fusion Fuel's stock price.
Fusion Fuel Short Interest
An investor who is long Fusion Fuel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fusion Fuel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fusion Fuel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.0055 | Short Percent 0.0013 | Short Ratio 0.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 25.8 K | 50 Day MA 9.2156 |
Fusion Fuel Green Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fusion Fuel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fusion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fusion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fusion Fuel Green. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fusion Fuel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fusion Fuel.
Fusion Fuel Implied Volatility | 2.07 |
Fusion Fuel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fusion Fuel Green stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fusion Fuel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fusion Fuel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fusion Fuel's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fusion Fuel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fusion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fusion Fuel after-hype prediction price | USD 4.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fusion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fusion Fuel Green will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Fusion Fuel trading at USD 4.25, that is roughly USD 0.005498 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fusion Fuel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fusion Fuel Green options at the current volatility level of 2.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Fusion Fuel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Fusion Fuel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fusion Fuel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fusion Fuel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fusion Fuel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fusion Fuel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fusion Fuel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fusion Fuel's historical news coverage. Fusion Fuel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 11.76, respectively. We have considered Fusion Fuel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fusion Fuel is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fusion Fuel Green is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fusion Fuel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fusion Fuel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fusion Fuel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fusion Fuel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.76 | 7.65 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.25 | 4.11 | 3.29 |
|
Fusion Fuel Hype Timeline
Fusion Fuel Green is currently traded for 4.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Fusion is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.76%. The volatility of related hype on Fusion Fuel is about 19172.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.22. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Fusion Fuel was currently reported as 19.53. The company recorded a loss per share of 30.7. Fusion Fuel Green had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:35 split on the 14th of July 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Fusion Fuel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fusion Fuel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fusion Fuel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fusion Fuel's future price movements. Getting to know how Fusion Fuel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fusion Fuel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTOOW | Fusion Fuel Green | 0.0007 | 8 per month | 17.82 | 0.14 | 36.36 | (32.73) | 131.45 | |
| ADN | Advent Technologies Holdings | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 14.69 | (11.42) | 54.82 | |
| FLNC | Fluence Energy | (0.30) | 10 per month | 2.96 | 0.22 | 9.39 | (5.53) | 30.77 | |
| NRGV | Energy Vault Holdings | (0.07) | 7 per month | 4.91 | 0.04 | 10.14 | (8.99) | 53.41 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | 0.12 | 9 per month | 5.80 | 0.08 | 15.98 | (7.68) | 57.17 | |
| NVVE | Nuvve Holding Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 10.38 | 0.05 | 16.82 | (16.11) | 187.03 | |
| VVPR | VivoPower International PLC | 0.10 | 11 per month | 8.43 | 0.16 | 22.54 | (11.48) | 62.08 |
Fusion Fuel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fusion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fusion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fusion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fusion Fuel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fusion Fuel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fusion Fuel Green, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fusion Fuel based on analysis of Fusion Fuel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fusion Fuel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fusion Fuel's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PB Ratio | 1.88 | 5.42 | 0.79 | Capex To Depreciation | 10.67 | 3.6 | 0.0722 |
Story Coverage note for Fusion Fuel
The number of cover stories for Fusion Fuel depends on current market conditions and Fusion Fuel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fusion Fuel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fusion Fuel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Fusion Fuel Short Properties
Fusion Fuel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fusion Fuel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fusion Fuel Green often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fusion Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fusion Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 214 K |
Check out Fusion Fuel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fusion Fuel. If investors know Fusion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fusion Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (30.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.61) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Fusion Fuel Green is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fusion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fusion Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fusion Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fusion Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fusion Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fusion Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fusion Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fusion Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.