GREAT PORTLAND Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GPE Stock   347.00  8.00  2.36%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES on the next trading day is expected to be 347.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.36. GREAT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GREAT PORTLAND stock prices and determine the direction of GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GREAT PORTLAND's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of GREAT PORTLAND's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GREAT PORTLAND's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GREAT PORTLAND and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GREAT PORTLAND's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GREAT PORTLAND's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.79
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0791
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.1021
Wall Street Target Price
372.615
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.242
Using GREAT PORTLAND hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES from the perspective of GREAT PORTLAND response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES on the next trading day is expected to be 347.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.36.

GREAT PORTLAND after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 347.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GREAT PORTLAND to cross-verify your projections.
At present, GREAT PORTLAND's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 3.6 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 55.1 M.

GREAT PORTLAND Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GREAT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GREAT using various technical indicators. When you analyze GREAT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for GREAT PORTLAND is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

GREAT PORTLAND Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES on the next trading day is expected to be 347.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.02, mean absolute percentage error of 30.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GREAT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GREAT PORTLAND's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GREAT PORTLAND Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GREAT PORTLANDGREAT PORTLAND Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GREAT PORTLAND Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GREAT PORTLAND's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GREAT PORTLAND's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 345.66 and 348.34, respectively. We have considered GREAT PORTLAND's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
347.00
345.66
Downside
347.00
Expected Value
348.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GREAT PORTLAND stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GREAT PORTLAND stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8562
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0801
MADMean absolute deviation4.0231
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors237.365
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of GREAT PORTLAND. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for GREAT PORTLAND

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
345.76347.10348.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
334.44335.77381.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
299.65322.40345.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.222.382.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GREAT PORTLAND

For every potential investor in GREAT, whether a beginner or expert, GREAT PORTLAND's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GREAT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GREAT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GREAT PORTLAND's price trends.

GREAT PORTLAND Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GREAT PORTLAND stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GREAT PORTLAND could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GREAT PORTLAND by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GREAT PORTLAND's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GREAT PORTLAND's current price.

GREAT PORTLAND Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GREAT PORTLAND stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GREAT PORTLAND shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GREAT PORTLAND stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GREAT PORTLAND Risk Indicators

The analysis of GREAT PORTLAND's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GREAT PORTLAND's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting great stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GREAT Stock

GREAT PORTLAND financial ratios help investors to determine whether GREAT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GREAT with respect to the benefits of owning GREAT PORTLAND security.