Gnosis Crypto Coin Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GNO Crypto  USD 282.79  1.27  0.45%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gnosis on the next trading day is expected to be 283.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 457.26. Gnosis Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gnosis crypto prices and determine the direction of Gnosis's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gnosis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Gnosis - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Gnosis prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Gnosis price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Gnosis.

Gnosis Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gnosis on the next trading day is expected to be 283.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.75, mean absolute percentage error of 114.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 457.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gnosis Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gnosis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gnosis Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Gnosis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gnosis' Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gnosis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 278.96 and 287.92, respectively. We have considered Gnosis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
282.79
278.96
Downside
283.44
Expected Value
287.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gnosis crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gnosis crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.4031
MADMean absolute deviation7.7502
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0335
SAESum of the absolute errors457.26
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Gnosis observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Gnosis observations.

Predictive Modules for Gnosis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gnosis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
292.57297.05301.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.20218.68326.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gnosis

For every potential investor in Gnosis, whether a beginner or expert, Gnosis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gnosis Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gnosis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gnosis' price trends.

Gnosis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gnosis crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gnosis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gnosis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gnosis Technical and Predictive Analytics

The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gnosis' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gnosis' current price.

Gnosis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gnosis crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gnosis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gnosis crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Gnosis entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gnosis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gnosis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gnosis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gnosis crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Gnosis offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gnosis' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gnosis Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gnosis to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gnosis' coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Gnosis value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Gnosis' price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.