Gourmet Provisions Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GMPR Stock | USD 0.01 0.0003 3.49% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gourmet Provisions International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34. Gourmet Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Gourmet Provisions' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gourmet Provisions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gourmet Provisions International from the perspective of Gourmet Provisions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gourmet Provisions International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34. Gourmet Provisions after-hype prediction price | USD 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gourmet |
Gourmet Provisions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gourmet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gourmet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gourmet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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Gourmet Provisions Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gourmet Provisions International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000058, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gourmet Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gourmet Provisions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gourmet Provisions Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gourmet Provisions | Gourmet Provisions Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gourmet Provisions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gourmet Provisions' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gourmet Provisions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000089 and 43.14, respectively. We have considered Gourmet Provisions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gourmet Provisions pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gourmet Provisions pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.3544 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0056 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3293 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3402 |
Predictive Modules for Gourmet Provisions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gourmet Provisions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gourmet Provisions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gourmet Provisions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gourmet Provisions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gourmet Provisions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gourmet Provisions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gourmet Provisions' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gourmet Provisions' historical news coverage. Gourmet Provisions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 43.13, respectively. We have considered Gourmet Provisions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gourmet Provisions is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gourmet Provisions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gourmet Provisions Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gourmet Provisions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gourmet Provisions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gourmet Provisions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
6.39 | 43.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.01 | 0.01 | 12.36 |
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Gourmet Provisions Hype Timeline
Gourmet Provisions is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gourmet is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 12.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 6.39%. The volatility of related hype on Gourmet Provisions is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Gourmet Provisions International currently holds 840.43 M in liabilities. Gourmet Provisions has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Gourmet Provisions until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gourmet Provisions' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gourmet Provisions sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gourmet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gourmet Provisions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gourmet Provisions to cross-verify your projections.Gourmet Provisions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gourmet Provisions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gourmet Provisions' future price movements. Getting to know how Gourmet Provisions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gourmet Provisions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YUKA | Yuka Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.34 | 0.17 | 22.97 | (19.83) | 95.60 | |
| DIAAF | Diamant Art Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SSOK | Sunstock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 13.33 | 0.00 | 458.28 | |
| SSUNF | SIGNA Sports United | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| COFE | Coffeesmiths Collective | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GTEH | Gentech Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 33.57 | 0.18 | 284.62 | (90.00) | 4,998 | |
| ACGX | Alliance Creative Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.68 | 0.01 | 21.07 | (26.14) | 71.08 | |
| PTTL | Pure Transit Technologies | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RIBS | Southern Concepts Restaurant | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| PLTXF | Plantx Life | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.55 | 0.09 | 75.00 | (39.47) | 155.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gourmet Provisions
For every potential investor in Gourmet, whether a beginner or expert, Gourmet Provisions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gourmet Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gourmet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gourmet Provisions' price trends.Gourmet Provisions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gourmet Provisions pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gourmet Provisions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gourmet Provisions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gourmet Provisions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gourmet Provisions pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gourmet Provisions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gourmet Provisions pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gourmet Provisions International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gourmet Provisions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gourmet Provisions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gourmet Provisions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gourmet pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 29.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 26.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 42.36 | |||
| Variance | 1794.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1344.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 714.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (40.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gourmet Provisions
The number of cover stories for Gourmet Provisions depends on current market conditions and Gourmet Provisions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gourmet Provisions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gourmet Provisions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Gourmet Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Gourmet Provisions' price analysis, check to measure Gourmet Provisions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gourmet Provisions is operating at the current time. Most of Gourmet Provisions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gourmet Provisions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gourmet Provisions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gourmet Provisions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.