GameStop Corp Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

GME Stock  USD 32.20  0.79  2.39%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GameStop Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.59. GameStop Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GameStop Corp stock prices and determine the direction of GameStop Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GameStop Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for GameStop Corp is based on an artificially constructed time series of GameStop Corp daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

GameStop Corp 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GameStop Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 30.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GameStop Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GameStop Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GameStop Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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GameStop Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GameStop Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GameStop Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.21 and 34.49, respectively. We have considered GameStop Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.20
30.85
Expected Value
34.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GameStop Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GameStop Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.3287
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.9017
MADMean absolute deviation1.2752
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.047
SAESum of the absolute errors67.585
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. GameStop Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for GameStop Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GameStop Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.3332.9736.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3218.9635.42
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.1-0.040.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GameStop Corp

For every potential investor in GameStop, whether a beginner or expert, GameStop Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GameStop Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GameStop. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GameStop Corp's price trends.

GameStop Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GameStop Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GameStop Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GameStop Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GameStop Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GameStop Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GameStop Corp's current price.

GameStop Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GameStop Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GameStop Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GameStop Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GameStop Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GameStop Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of GameStop Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GameStop Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gamestop stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether GameStop Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze GameStop Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GameStop Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GameStop Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GameStop Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade GameStop Stock refer to our How to Trade GameStop Stock guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Computer & Electronics Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GameStop Corp. If investors know GameStop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GameStop Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.259
Earnings Share
0.2
Revenue Per Share
13.97
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.31)
Return On Assets
0.0004
The market value of GameStop Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GameStop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GameStop Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GameStop Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GameStop Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GameStop Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GameStop Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GameStop Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GameStop Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.