Empery Digital Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| EMPD Stock | 4.43 0.04 0.89% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Empery Digital on the next trading day is expected to be 4.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87. Empery Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Empery Digital stock prices and determine the direction of Empery Digital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Empery Digital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Empery Digital's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
Using Empery Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Empery Digital from the perspective of Empery Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Empery Digital using Empery Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Empery using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Empery Digital's stock price.
Empery Digital Implied Volatility | 2.13 |
Empery Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Empery Digital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Empery Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Empery Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Empery Digital's options are near their expiration.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Empery Digital on the next trading day is expected to be 4.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87. Empery Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 4.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Empery Digital to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Empery contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Empery Digital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Empery Digital trading at USD 4.43, that is roughly USD 0.005897 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Empery Digital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Empery Digital options at the current volatility level of 2.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Empery Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Empery Digital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Empery Digital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Empery Digital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Empery Digital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Empery Digital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Empery Digital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Empery. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Empery Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Empery price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Empery using various technical indicators. When you analyze Empery charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Empery Digital 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Empery Digital on the next trading day is expected to be 4.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Empery Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Empery Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Empery Digital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Empery Digital | Empery Digital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Empery Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Empery Digital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Empery Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.16 and 9.06, respectively. We have considered Empery Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Empery Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Empery Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 101.6518 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.185 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3183 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0655 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.8675 |
Predictive Modules for Empery Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empery Digital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Empery Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Empery Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Empery Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Empery Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Empery Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Empery Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Empery Digital's historical news coverage. Empery Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 8.73, respectively. We have considered Empery Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Empery Digital is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Empery Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Empery Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Empery Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Empery Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Empery Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 4.45 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.43 | 4.24 | 4.29 |
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Empery Digital Hype Timeline
Empery Digital is currently traded for 4.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Empery is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Empery Digital is about 4944.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.37. The company recorded a loss per share of 255.73. Empery Digital had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 12th of June 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Empery Digital to cross-verify your projections.Empery Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Empery Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Empery Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Empery Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Empery Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.37 | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.02 | 4.21 | (4.27) | 12.82 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.12) | 10 per month | 2.24 | 0.06 | 3.28 | (3.41) | 10.53 | |
| NIU | Niu Technologies | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.50 | (6.94) | 15.96 | |
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.55 | (3.90) | 30.59 | |
| HLLY | Holley Inc | 0.14 | 7 per month | 1.81 | 0.12 | 5.51 | (3.70) | 38.65 | |
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Companies | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.18 | 4.57 | (2.43) | 10.49 | |
| ONEW | Onewater Marine | (0.08) | 10 per month | 3.98 | (0.02) | 6.13 | (5.54) | 16.58 | |
| GCO | Genesco | (0.66) | 11 per month | 5.96 | 0.07 | 8.14 | (4.04) | 39.13 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.14 | (7.48) | 34.74 | |
| WW | WW International Common | (0.31) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.00 | (8.96) | 27.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Empery Digital
For every potential investor in Empery, whether a beginner or expert, Empery Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Empery Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Empery. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Empery Digital's price trends.Empery Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Empery Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Empery Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empery Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Empery Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Empery Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Empery Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Empery Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Empery Digital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Empery Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Empery Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Empery Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting empery stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.55 | |||
| Variance | 20.69 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Empery Digital
The number of cover stories for Empery Digital depends on current market conditions and Empery Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Empery Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Empery Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Empery Digital Short Properties
Empery Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Empery Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Empery Digital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Empery Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empery Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.7 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Empery Digital to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Empery Stock refer to our How to Trade Empery Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Empery Digital. If investors know Empery will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Empery Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (255.73) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Empery Digital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Empery that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Empery Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Empery Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Empery Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Empery Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Empery Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Empery Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Empery Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.