Ecoloclean Industrs Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ECCI Stock  USD 0.00001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ecoloclean Industrs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025. Ecoloclean Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ecoloclean Industrs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Ecoloclean Industrs' Other Current Assets are increasing as compared to previous years.

Ecoloclean Industrs Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Ecoloclean Industrs' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
9.9 K
Current Value
10.4 K
Quarterly Volatility
2.3 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Ecoloclean Industrs is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ecoloclean Industrs value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ecoloclean Industrs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ecoloclean Industrs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ecoloclean Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ecoloclean Industrs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ecoloclean Industrs Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ecoloclean IndustrsEcoloclean Industrs Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ecoloclean Industrs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ecoloclean Industrs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ecoloclean Industrs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 125.00, respectively. We have considered Ecoloclean Industrs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00001
0.000001
Expected Value
125.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ecoloclean Industrs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ecoloclean Industrs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.9077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ecoloclean Industrs. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ecoloclean Industrs. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ecoloclean Industrs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecoloclean Industrs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecoloclean Industrs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ecoloclean Industrs

For every potential investor in Ecoloclean, whether a beginner or expert, Ecoloclean Industrs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ecoloclean Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ecoloclean. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ecoloclean Industrs' price trends.

Ecoloclean Industrs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ecoloclean Industrs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ecoloclean Industrs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ecoloclean Industrs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ecoloclean Industrs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ecoloclean Industrs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ecoloclean Industrs' current price.

Ecoloclean Industrs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ecoloclean Industrs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ecoloclean Industrs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ecoloclean Industrs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ecoloclean Industrs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Ecoloclean Industrs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ecoloclean Industrs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ecoloclean Industrs Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ecoloclean Industrs Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ecoloclean Industrs to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Ecoloclean Stock please use our How to Invest in Ecoloclean Industrs guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecoloclean Industrs. If investors know Ecoloclean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecoloclean Industrs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.01
Quarterly Revenue Growth
7.213
Return On Assets
(0.91)
The market value of Ecoloclean Industrs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecoloclean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecoloclean Industrs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecoloclean Industrs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecoloclean Industrs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecoloclean Industrs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecoloclean Industrs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ecoloclean Industrs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecoloclean Industrs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.