Clearway Energy Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CWEN-A Stock  USD 26.19  0.31  1.20%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Clearway Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 25.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.53. Clearway Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Clearway Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Clearway Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Clearway Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Clearway Energy's Inventory Turnover is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 5.76, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.90. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 702.8 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 98.9 M.
Most investors in Clearway Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Clearway Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Clearway Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. An 8-period moving average forecast model for Clearway Energy is based on an artificially constructed time series of Clearway Energy daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Clearway Energy 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of October 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Clearway Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 25.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clearway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clearway Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clearway Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Clearway Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clearway Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clearway Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.35 and 27.50, respectively. We have considered Clearway Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.19
25.93
Expected Value
27.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clearway Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clearway Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.9232
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1211
MADMean absolute deviation0.6515
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors34.5313
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Clearway Energy 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Clearway Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearway Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clearway Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6126.2027.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5729.8431.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.6525.9926.32
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.2131.0034.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Clearway Energy

For every potential investor in Clearway, whether a beginner or expert, Clearway Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clearway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clearway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clearway Energy's price trends.

Clearway Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clearway Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clearway Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearway Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clearway Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Clearway Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Clearway Energy's current price.

Clearway Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clearway Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clearway Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clearway Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clearway Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clearway Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clearway Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clearway Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clearway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Clearway Stock

Clearway Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clearway Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clearway with respect to the benefits of owning Clearway Energy security.