Cadre Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CDRE Stock | USD 43.43 0.74 1.68% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadre Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 43.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.00. Cadre Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cadre Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Cadre Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cadre Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Cadre Holdings' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.989 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.495 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.31 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.46 | Wall Street Target Price 48.5 |
Using Cadre Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cadre Holdings from the perspective of Cadre Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cadre Holdings using Cadre Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cadre using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cadre Holdings' stock price.
Cadre Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cadre Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cadre. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cadre Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 35.8923 | Short Percent 0.088 | Short Ratio 9.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 42.294 |
Cadre Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cadre Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cadre. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cadre can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cadre Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cadre Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Cadre Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cadre Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cadre Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cadre Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cadre Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadre Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 43.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.00. Cadre Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 44.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cadre Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cadre contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cadre Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Cadre Holdings trading at USD 43.43, that is roughly USD 0.022 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cadre Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cadre Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Cadre Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cadre Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cadre Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cadre Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cadre Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Cadre Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cadre Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cadre. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cadre Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cadre price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cadre using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cadre charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cadre Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadre Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 43.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cadre Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cadre Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cadre Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cadre Holdings | Cadre Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cadre Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cadre Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cadre Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.40 and 45.46, respectively. We have considered Cadre Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cadre Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cadre Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9854 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0103 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6333 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0149 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.0 |
Predictive Modules for Cadre Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadre Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cadre Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cadre Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cadre Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cadre Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cadre Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cadre Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cadre Holdings' historical news coverage. Cadre Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.12 and 46.18, respectively. We have considered Cadre Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cadre Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cadre Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cadre Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cadre Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cadre Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cadre Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.03 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
43.43 | 44.15 | 0.05 |
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Cadre Holdings Hype Timeline
Cadre Holdings is currently traded for 43.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Cadre is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 44.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Cadre Holdings is about 410.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.46. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. Cadre Holdings last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cadre Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Cadre Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cadre Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cadre Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Cadre Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cadre Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VOYG | Voyager Technologies | 0.31 | 11 per month | 4.82 | (0.01) | 9.43 | (7.32) | 19.57 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | (1.97) | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.11 | 3.90 | (2.23) | 9.98 | |
| ATRO | Astronics | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.23 | 6.28 | (3.74) | 15.01 | |
| NSP | Insperity | (0.52) | 10 per month | 3.91 | (0) | 4.91 | (3.13) | 20.54 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | 2.27 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.11 | 3.98 | (2.90) | 12.32 | |
| PBI | Pitney Bowes | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.65 | (2.96) | 13.11 | |
| KMT | Kennametal | (0.40) | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.24 | 4.67 | (2.41) | 17.95 | |
| CECO | CECO Environmental Corp | 0.38 | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0.16 | 4.25 | (4.56) | 13.46 | |
| MVST | Microvast Holdings | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 6.02 | (8.87) | 18.37 | |
| SCS | Steelcase | 4.66 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.68 | (1.45) | 6.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cadre Holdings
For every potential investor in Cadre, whether a beginner or expert, Cadre Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cadre Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cadre. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cadre Holdings' price trends.Cadre Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cadre Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cadre Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cadre Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cadre Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cadre Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cadre Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cadre Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cadre Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cadre Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cadre Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cadre Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cadre stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cadre Holdings
The number of cover stories for Cadre Holdings depends on current market conditions and Cadre Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cadre Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cadre Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cadre Holdings Short Properties
Cadre Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cadre Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cadre Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cadre Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadre Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cadre Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Cadre Stock refer to our How to Trade Cadre Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cadre Holdings. If investors know Cadre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cadre Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.989 | Dividend Share 0.373 | Earnings Share 1.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.425 |
The market value of Cadre Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cadre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cadre Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cadre Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cadre Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cadre Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cadre Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cadre Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cadre Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.