British Amer Stock Forward View
| BTI Stock | 95,780 915.00 0.96% |
British Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast British Amer stock prices and determine the direction of British American Tobacco's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of British Amer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of British Amer's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling British Amer, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using British Amer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of British American Tobacco from the perspective of British Amer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of British American Tobacco on the next trading day is expected to be 95,154 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,131 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68,994. British Amer after-hype prediction price | ZAC 95780.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
British |
British Amer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine British price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for British using various technical indicators. When you analyze British charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
British Amer Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of British American Tobacco on the next trading day is expected to be 95,154 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,131, mean absolute percentage error of 1,971,987, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68,994.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict British Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that British Amer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
British Amer Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest British Amer | British Amer Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
British Amer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting British Amer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. British Amer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 95,152 and 95,155, respectively. We have considered British Amer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of British Amer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent British Amer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 132.6051 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1131.053 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68994.2321 |
Predictive Modules for British Amer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as British American Tobacco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.British Amer After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of British Amer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in British Amer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of British Amer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
British Amer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting British Amer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on British Amer's historical news coverage. British Amer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 95,779 and 95,781, respectively. We have considered British Amer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
British Amer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of British American Tobacco is based on 3 months time horizon.
British Amer Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as British Amer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading British Amer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with British Amer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
95,780 | 95,780 | 0.00 |
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British Amer Hype Timeline
British American Tobacco is currently traded for 95,780on Johannesburg Exchange of South Africa. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. British is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on British Amer is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95,780. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. British American Tobacco recorded earning per share (EPS) of 62.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of British Amer to cross-verify your projections.British Amer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to British Amer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict British Amer's future price movements. Getting to know how British Amer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how British Amer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNI | Reinet Investments SCA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.04) | 1.49 | (1.71) | 4.99 | |
| HCI | Hosken Consolidated Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.12 | 5.60 | (3.60) | 11.93 | |
| DNB | Deneb Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 6.38 | (0.38) | 20.98 | |
| PHP | Primary Health Prop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.02 | 3.82 | (3.85) | 11.90 | |
| BOX | Boxer Retail | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.12 | (1.73) | 5.50 | |
| LHC | Life Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.85 | (2.44) | 10.52 | |
| RCL | RCL Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.29 | (2.83) | 14.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for British Amer
For every potential investor in British, whether a beginner or expert, British Amer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. British Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in British. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying British Amer's price trends.British Amer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with British Amer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of British Amer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing British Amer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
British Amer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how British Amer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading British Amer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying British Amer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify British American Tobacco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0327 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2906 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 94724.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 95076.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3149.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1513.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 915.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.51 |
British Amer Risk Indicators
The analysis of British Amer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in British Amer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting british stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for British Amer
The number of cover stories for British Amer depends on current market conditions and British Amer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that British Amer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about British Amer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in British Stock
When determining whether British American Tobacco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of British Amer's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of British American Tobacco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on British American Tobacco Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of British Amer to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.