BRC Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BRCC Stock | USD 0.83 0.01 1.22% |
BRC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BRC stock prices and determine the direction of BRC Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BRC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of BRC's share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BRC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BRC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BRC Inc from the perspective of BRC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BRC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39. BRC after-hype prediction price | USD 0.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRC to cross-verify your projections. BRC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BRC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BRC using various technical indicators. When you analyze BRC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BRC Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BRC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BRC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BRC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BRC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BRC | BRC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BRC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BRC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BRC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.52, respectively. We have considered BRC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BRC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BRC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0084 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0405 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.035 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3886 |
Predictive Modules for BRC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BRC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BRC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BRC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BRC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BRC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BRC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BRC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BRC's historical news coverage. BRC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 4.56, respectively. We have considered BRC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BRC is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BRC Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
BRC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BRC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BRC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BRC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.83 | 0.83 | 0.00 |
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BRC Hype Timeline
BRC Inc is currently traded for 0.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BRC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on BRC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.83. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of BRC was currently reported as 0.42. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. BRC Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRC to cross-verify your projections.BRC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BRC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BRC's future price movements. Getting to know how BRC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BRC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BGS | BG Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | 0.05 | 3.75 | (3.36) | 31.62 | |
| NATR | Natures Sunshine Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.22 | 6.32 | (3.66) | 35.13 | |
| WILC | G Willi Food International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | 0.22 | 2.69 | (1.69) | 8.43 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.42 | 0.03 | 8.01 | (6.44) | 18.25 | |
| AFRI | Forafric Global PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.04 | 4.29 | (3.21) | 9.71 | |
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.81 | (3.01) | 10.60 | |
| USNA | USANA Health Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | (0.0004) | 3.78 | (2.97) | 8.95 | |
| CHSCL | CHS Inc CL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.35 | (0.24) | 0.86 | |
| ABVE | Above Food Ingredients | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 14.07 | (15.33) | 52.76 | |
| ALCO | Alico Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.11 | 3.49 | (2.45) | 7.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for BRC
For every potential investor in BRC, whether a beginner or expert, BRC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BRC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BRC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BRC's price trends.BRC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BRC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BRC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BRC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BRC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BRC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BRC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BRC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BRC Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BRC Risk Indicators
The analysis of BRC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BRC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.73 | |||
| Variance | 13.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BRC
The number of cover stories for BRC depends on current market conditions and BRC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BRC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BRC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BRC Short Properties
BRC's future price predictability will typically decrease when BRC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BRC Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BRC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BRC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could BRC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BRC. Projected growth potential of BRC fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every BRC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding BRC Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects BRC's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what BRC's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push BRC's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BRC's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BRC should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, BRC's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.