Ambu AS Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AMBU-B Stock | DKK 85.10 0.10 0.12% |
Ambu Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ambu AS stock prices and determine the direction of Ambu AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ambu AS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the value of RSI of Ambu AS's share price is approaching 40. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ambu AS, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ambu AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambu AS from the perspective of Ambu AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ambu AS on the next trading day is expected to be 85.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.33. Ambu AS after-hype prediction price | DKK 85.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ambu |
Ambu AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ambu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ambu AS Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ambu AS on the next trading day is expected to be 85.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 6.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ambu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ambu AS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ambu AS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ambu AS | Ambu AS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ambu AS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ambu AS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ambu AS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.57 and 87.63, respectively. We have considered Ambu AS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ambu AS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ambu AS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1917 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3541 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2889 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 77.335 |
Predictive Modules for Ambu AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambu AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ambu AS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ambu AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ambu AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ambu AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ambu AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ambu AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ambu AS's historical news coverage. Ambu AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.57 and 87.63, respectively. We have considered Ambu AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ambu AS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambu AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ambu AS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ambu AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ambu AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ambu AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
85.10 | 85.10 | 0.00 |
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Ambu AS Hype Timeline
Ambu AS is presently traded for 85.10on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ambu is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ambu AS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.10. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2021. Ambu AS had 5:1 split on the 3rd of January 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ambu AS to cross-verify your projections.Ambu AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ambu AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ambu AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Ambu AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ambu AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHEMM | ChemoMetec AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.06 | (3.24) | 10.30 | |
| GN | GN Store Nord | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.06 | (4.36) | 13.03 | |
| ZEAL | Zealand Pharma AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.86 | (4.69) | 19.88 | |
| BAVA | Bavarian Nordic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.38 | (2.28) | 22.45 | |
| DEMANT | Demant AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.79 | (2.94) | 7.90 | |
| HLUN-B | H Lundbeck AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.71 | (4.18) | 8.71 | |
| SMSMED | Scandinavian Medical Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.57 | (8.09) | 30.27 | |
| VIRO | ViroGates AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 9.62 | (8.05) | 36.30 | |
| ALK-B | ALK Abell AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.20 | (2.20) | 14.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ambu AS
For every potential investor in Ambu, whether a beginner or expert, Ambu AS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ambu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ambu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ambu AS's price trends.Ambu AS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ambu AS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ambu AS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambu AS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ambu AS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ambu AS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ambu AS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ambu AS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ambu AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ambu AS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ambu AS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ambu AS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ambu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ambu AS
The number of cover stories for Ambu AS depends on current market conditions and Ambu AS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ambu AS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ambu AS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Ambu Stock
Ambu AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ambu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ambu with respect to the benefits of owning Ambu AS security.