Active Health Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| AHFD Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Active Health Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Active Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Active Health stock prices and determine the direction of Active Health Foods's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Active Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Active Health's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Active Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Active Health Foods from the perspective of Active Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Active Health Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Active Health after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Active |
Active Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Active price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Active using various technical indicators. When you analyze Active charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Active Health 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Active Health Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Active Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Active Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Active Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Active Health | Active Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Active Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Active Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Active Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Active Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Active Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Active Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Active Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Active Health Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Active Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Active Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Active Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Active Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Active Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Active Health's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Active Health's historical news coverage. Active Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Active Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Active Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Active Health Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Active Health Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Active Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Active Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Active Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Active Health Hype Timeline
Active Health Foods is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Active is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Active Health is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Active Health Foods had 1:1000 split on the 30th of December 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Active Health to cross-verify your projections.Active Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Active Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Active Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Active Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Active Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UMAX | UMAX Group Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| SPOI | SPO Networks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | |
| SMFX | SAM Trade Pte | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | |
| EZTD | EZTD Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MERR | Merriman Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHFI | China Finance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SFIN | Safetek International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WSFGQ | WSB Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITUP | Interups | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACAI | Safeplus International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Active Health
For every potential investor in Active, whether a beginner or expert, Active Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Active Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Active. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Active Health's price trends.Active Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Active Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Active Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Active Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Active Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Active Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Active Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Active Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Active Health Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Active Health
The number of cover stories for Active Health depends on current market conditions and Active Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Active Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Active Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Active Pink Sheet
Active Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Active Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Active with respect to the benefits of owning Active Health security.