Aberdeen Income Preferred Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ACP-PA Preferred Stock | 20.65 0.07 0.34% |
Aberdeen Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aberdeen Income stock prices and determine the direction of Aberdeen Income Credit's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aberdeen Income's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Aberdeen Income's share price is at 56. This suggests that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aberdeen Income, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aberdeen Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Income Credit from the perspective of Aberdeen Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aberdeen Income Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 20.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.16. Aberdeen Income after-hype prediction price | USD 20.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aberdeen Income Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aberdeen Income Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 20.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aberdeen Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aberdeen Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aberdeen Income Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aberdeen Income | Aberdeen Income Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Aberdeen Income Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aberdeen Income's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aberdeen Income's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.09 and 21.21, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Income's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen Income preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen Income preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9208 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.086 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0042 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.16 |
Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Income Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aberdeen Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aberdeen Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aberdeen Income's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Income's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.09 and 21.21, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aberdeen Income is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Income Credit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aberdeen Income Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aberdeen Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.65 | 20.65 | 0.00 |
|
Aberdeen Income Hype Timeline
Aberdeen Income Credit is presently traded for 20.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aberdeen is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Income is about 13.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.65. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aberdeen Income to cross-verify your projections.Aberdeen Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTY | Pimco Corporate Income | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.90 | (0.82) | 3.18 | |
| JPC | Nuveen Preferred Income | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.38 | (0.02) | 0.76 | (0.75) | 2.74 | |
| YAFFX | Amg Yacktman Focused | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1.34 | (0.88) | 13.97 | |
| YAFIX | Amg Yacktman Focused | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1.29 | (0.88) | 14.14 | |
| ETY | Eaton Vance Tax | 0.09 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.18 | (1.35) | 3.53 | |
| NZF | Nuveen Municipal Credit | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.50 | (0.09) | 1.21 | (0.57) | 2.88 | |
| EXG | Eaton Vance Tax Managed | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.58 | 0.08 | 1.22 | (1.28) | 3.15 | |
| NVG | Nuveen Amt Free | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.29 | 0.01 | 0.96 | (0.64) | 2.72 | |
| AIVFX | American Funds International | 41.02 | 4 per month | 0.46 | 0.15 | 1.47 | (1.17) | 4.50 | |
| ACP | Aberdeen Income Credit | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.66 | (0) | 1.20 | (1.17) | 2.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aberdeen Income
For every potential investor in Aberdeen, whether a beginner or expert, Aberdeen Income's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aberdeen Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aberdeen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aberdeen Income's price trends.Aberdeen Income Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aberdeen Income preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aberdeen Income could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aberdeen Income by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aberdeen Income Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aberdeen Income preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aberdeen Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aberdeen Income preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aberdeen Income Credit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aberdeen Income Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aberdeen Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aberdeen Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aberdeen preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4035 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5444 | |||
| Variance | 0.2964 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aberdeen Income
The number of cover stories for Aberdeen Income depends on current market conditions and Aberdeen Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aberdeen Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aberdeen Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Aberdeen Income Short Properties
Aberdeen Income's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aberdeen Income's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aberdeen Income Credit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aberdeen Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberdeen Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0068 | |
| Dividends Paid | 24.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Preferred Stock
Aberdeen Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Income security.