Ameris Bancorp Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| ABCB Stock | USD 80.44 2.33 2.82% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ameris Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 80.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.98. Ameris Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ameris Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Ameris Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ameris Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ameris Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.069 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.97 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.2614 | Wall Street Target Price 83.2857 |
Using Ameris Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ameris Bancorp from the perspective of Ameris Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ameris Bancorp using Ameris Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ameris using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ameris Bancorp's stock price.
Ameris Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ameris Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ameris. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ameris Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 69.1272 | Short Percent 0.0297 | Short Ratio 3.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 76.4658 |
Ameris Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ameris Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ameris. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ameris can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ameris Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ameris Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Ameris Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ameris Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ameris Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ameris Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ameris Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ameris Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 80.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.98. Ameris Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 80.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ameris Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ameris contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ameris Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Ameris Bancorp trading at USD 80.44, that is roughly USD 0.0206 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ameris Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ameris Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Ameris Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ameris Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ameris Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ameris Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ameris Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ameris Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ameris Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ameris. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ameris Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ameris price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ameris using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ameris charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ameris Bancorp 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ameris Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 80.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 3.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ameris Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ameris Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ameris Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ameris Bancorp | Ameris Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ameris Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ameris Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ameris Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.30 and 82.13, respectively. We have considered Ameris Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ameris Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ameris Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.3901 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.7182 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4626 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0191 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.9812 |
Predictive Modules for Ameris Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ameris Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ameris Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ameris Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ameris Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ameris Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ameris Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ameris Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ameris Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ameris Bancorp's historical news coverage. Ameris Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.01 and 81.83, respectively. We have considered Ameris Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ameris Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ameris Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ameris Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ameris Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ameris Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ameris Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.41 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
80.44 | 80.42 | 0.02 |
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Ameris Bancorp Hype Timeline
Ameris Bancorp is presently traded for 80.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Ameris is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 80.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Ameris Bancorp is about 1293.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.46. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ameris Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.45. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.61. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Ameris Bancorp had 211:210 split on the 28th of June 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ameris Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Ameris Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ameris Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ameris Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Ameris Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ameris Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UBSI | United Bankshares | 0.21 | 15 per month | 1.01 | 0.11 | 3.05 | (1.94) | 8.03 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.14 | 2.79 | (2.90) | 7.37 | |
| HWC | Hancock Whitney Corp | 0.11 | 10 per month | 0.85 | 0.15 | 2.85 | (1.12) | 6.02 | |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.10 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| OZK | Bank Ozk | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.09 | (0) | 2.43 | (1.53) | 6.11 | |
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp | (0.13) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 3.25 | (1.94) | 8.19 | |
| HOMB | Home BancShares | (0.02) | 19 per month | 1.13 | (0) | 2.16 | (1.75) | 5.65 | |
| AX | Axos Financial | 1.27 | 12 per month | 1.45 | 0.10 | 3.18 | (2.60) | 6.63 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 3.79 | (2.02) | 7.84 | |
| FNB | FNB Corp | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.07 | 2.90 | (2.05) | 5.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ameris Bancorp
For every potential investor in Ameris, whether a beginner or expert, Ameris Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ameris Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ameris. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ameris Bancorp's price trends.Ameris Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ameris Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ameris Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ameris Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ameris Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ameris Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ameris Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ameris Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ameris Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18639.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 81.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 80.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.87) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.33) |
Ameris Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ameris Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ameris Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ameris stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ameris Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Ameris Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Ameris Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ameris Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ameris Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ameris Bancorp Short Properties
Ameris Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ameris Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ameris Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ameris Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ameris Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ameris Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ameris Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameris Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ameris Bancorp. If investors know Ameris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ameris Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.069 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 5.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
The market value of Ameris Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ameris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ameris Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ameris Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ameris Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ameris Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ameris Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ameris Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ameris Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.