African Agriculture Pink Sheet Forward View
| AAGR Stock | 0.01 0.0001 1.01% |
African Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of African Agriculture's share price is at 52. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling African Agriculture, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using African Agriculture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of African Agriculture Holdings from the perspective of African Agriculture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of African Agriculture Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. African Agriculture after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0098 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
African |
African Agriculture Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine African price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for African using various technical indicators. When you analyze African charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
African Agriculture Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of African Agriculture Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000012, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict African Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that African Agriculture's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
African Agriculture Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest African Agriculture | African Agriculture Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
African Agriculture Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting African Agriculture's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. African Agriculture's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000098 and 370.84, respectively. We have considered African Agriculture's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of African Agriculture pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent African Agriculture pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.769 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0027 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 4.3183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1651 |
Predictive Modules for African Agriculture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as African Agriculture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.African Agriculture After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of African Agriculture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in African Agriculture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of African Agriculture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
African Agriculture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting African Agriculture's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on African Agriculture's historical news coverage. African Agriculture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.50, respectively. We have considered African Agriculture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
African Agriculture is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of African Agriculture is based on 3 months time horizon.
African Agriculture Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as African Agriculture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading African Agriculture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with African Agriculture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
145.20 | 370.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
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African Agriculture Hype Timeline
African Agriculture is presently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. African is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 145.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on African Agriculture is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.8. African Agriculture had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 279:200 split on the 7th of December 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of African Agriculture to cross-verify your projections.African Agriculture Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to African Agriculture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict African Agriculture's future price movements. Getting to know how African Agriculture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how African Agriculture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHMP | NaturalShrimp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.24 | 0.14 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 200.00 | |
| HERF | Red Oak Hereford | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 18.42 | (7.22) | 704.61 | |
| MSRM | Mushrooms | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.79 | 0.1 | 35.59 | (24.02) | 124.59 | |
| ASII | PT Astra International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.80 | 0.13 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| DKAM | Drinks Americas Hldg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NTEI | Novatech Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NRGT | Energy Today | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.86 | 0.09 | 51.76 | (29.35) | 161.69 | |
| SBES | South Beach Spirits | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MLMN | Millennium Prime | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.29 | 0.10 | 17.39 | (9.09) | 354.92 | |
| RRSFF | Rritual Superfoods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for African Agriculture
For every potential investor in African, whether a beginner or expert, African Agriculture's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. African Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in African. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying African Agriculture's price trends.African Agriculture Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with African Agriculture pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of African Agriculture could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing African Agriculture by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
African Agriculture Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how African Agriculture pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading African Agriculture shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying African Agriculture pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify African Agriculture Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0098 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0098 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.00005) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.92 |
African Agriculture Risk Indicators
The analysis of African Agriculture's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in African Agriculture's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting african pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 953.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 39.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1841.71 | |||
| Variance | 3391891.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8350.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1556.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2,899) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for African Agriculture
The number of cover stories for African Agriculture depends on current market conditions and African Agriculture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that African Agriculture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about African Agriculture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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African Agriculture Short Properties
African Agriculture's future price predictability will typically decrease when African Agriculture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of African Agriculture Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential African Agriculture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. African Agriculture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
Additional Tools for African Pink Sheet Analysis
When running African Agriculture's price analysis, check to measure African Agriculture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy African Agriculture is operating at the current time. Most of African Agriculture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of African Agriculture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move African Agriculture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of African Agriculture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.