Guangdong Liantai Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 603797 Stock | 4.97 0.07 1.43% |
Guangdong Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Guangdong Liantai stock prices and determine the direction of Guangdong Liantai Environmental's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Guangdong Liantai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026 the value of rsi of Guangdong Liantai's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Guangdong Liantai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangdong Liantai Environmental from the perspective of Guangdong Liantai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guangdong Liantai Environmental on the next trading day is expected to be 4.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70. Guangdong Liantai after-hype prediction price | CNY 4.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guangdong |
Guangdong Liantai Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guangdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guangdong Liantai Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guangdong Liantai Environmental on the next trading day is expected to be 4.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangdong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangdong Liantai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Guangdong Liantai Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Guangdong Liantai | Guangdong Liantai Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Guangdong Liantai Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Guangdong Liantai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangdong Liantai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.18 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Liantai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangdong Liantai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangdong Liantai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1665 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0607 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.7007 |
Predictive Modules for Guangdong Liantai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangdong Liantai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guangdong Liantai After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guangdong Liantai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangdong Liantai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangdong Liantai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guangdong Liantai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guangdong Liantai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangdong Liantai's historical news coverage. Guangdong Liantai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.18 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Liantai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guangdong Liantai is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangdong Liantai is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guangdong Liantai Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangdong Liantai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangdong Liantai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangdong Liantai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.97 | 4.97 | 0.00 |
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Guangdong Liantai Hype Timeline
Guangdong Liantai is presently traded for 4.97on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guangdong is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guangdong Liantai is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.97. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Guangdong Liantai last dividend was issued on the 20th of August 2025. The entity had 1.4:1 split on the 9th of July 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guangdong Liantai to cross-verify your projections.Guangdong Liantai Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guangdong Liantai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangdong Liantai's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangdong Liantai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangdong Liantai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 002556 | Anhui Huilong Agricultural | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.03 | 2.61 | (2.18) | 7.76 | |
| 000880 | Weichai Heavy Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | 0.05 | 6.07 | (3.81) | 13.95 | |
| 300210 | Anshan Senyuan Road | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.93 | 0.01 | 3.97 | (3.38) | 18.31 | |
| 300556 | Silkroad Visual Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 2.94 | (3.02) | 8.98 | |
| 002813 | Shenzhen RoadRover Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.03 | 9.99 | (3.58) | 14.86 | |
| 600765 | AVIC Heavy Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.48 | 0.06 | 5.85 | (3.43) | 16.07 | |
| 600959 | Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.1 | 2.41 | (2.45) | 12.46 | |
| 002357 | Sichuan Fulin Transportation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | 0.14 | 5.98 | (3.27) | 12.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Guangdong Liantai
For every potential investor in Guangdong, whether a beginner or expert, Guangdong Liantai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangdong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangdong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangdong Liantai's price trends.Guangdong Liantai Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangdong Liantai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangdong Liantai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangdong Liantai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guangdong Liantai Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangdong Liantai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangdong Liantai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangdong Liantai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangdong Liantai Environmental entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Guangdong Liantai Risk Indicators
The analysis of Guangdong Liantai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guangdong Liantai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guangdong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Guangdong Liantai
The number of cover stories for Guangdong Liantai depends on current market conditions and Guangdong Liantai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangdong Liantai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangdong Liantai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Guangdong Liantai Short Properties
Guangdong Liantai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangdong Liantai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangdong Liantai Environmental often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangdong Liantai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong Liantai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 561 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock
Guangdong Liantai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Liantai security.