Shanghai Pudong Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

600000 Stock   10.06  0.09  0.89%   
Shanghai Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai Pudong stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai Pudong Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Pudong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the value of RSI of Shanghai Pudong's share price is approaching 30. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shanghai Pudong, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shanghai Pudong's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shanghai Pudong Development, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Shanghai Pudong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shanghai Pudong Development from the perspective of Shanghai Pudong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Pudong Development on the next trading day is expected to be 10.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.24.

Shanghai Pudong after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 10.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanghai Pudong to cross-verify your projections.

Shanghai Pudong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shanghai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shanghai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shanghai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Shanghai Pudong simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Shanghai Pudong Development are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Shanghai Pudong Deve prices get older.

Shanghai Pudong Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Pudong Development on the next trading day is expected to be 10.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Pudong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Pudong Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shanghai Pudong  Shanghai Pudong Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Shanghai Pudong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai Pudong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai Pudong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.67 and 11.45, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Pudong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.06
10.06
Expected Value
11.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Pudong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Pudong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6362
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0267
MADMean absolute deviation0.1207
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors7.24
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Shanghai Pudong Development forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Shanghai Pudong observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Pudong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Pudong Deve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6710.0611.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.209.5910.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.6511.1412.63
Details

Shanghai Pudong After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shanghai Pudong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shanghai Pudong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shanghai Pudong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shanghai Pudong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shanghai Pudong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shanghai Pudong's historical news coverage. Shanghai Pudong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.67 and 11.45, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Pudong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.06
10.06
After-hype Price
11.45
Upside
Shanghai Pudong is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shanghai Pudong Deve is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shanghai Pudong Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shanghai Pudong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shanghai Pudong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shanghai Pudong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.39
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.06
10.06
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shanghai Pudong Hype Timeline

Shanghai Pudong Deve is presently traded for 10.06on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shanghai is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shanghai Pudong is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.06. About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.41. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Shanghai Pudong Deve last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2025. The entity had 13:10 split on the 25th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanghai Pudong to cross-verify your projections.

Shanghai Pudong Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shanghai Pudong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shanghai Pudong's future price movements. Getting to know how Shanghai Pudong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shanghai Pudong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai Pudong

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai Pudong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai Pudong's price trends.

Shanghai Pudong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Pudong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Pudong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Pudong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Pudong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Pudong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Pudong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Pudong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Pudong Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Pudong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Pudong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Pudong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Shanghai Pudong

The number of cover stories for Shanghai Pudong depends on current market conditions and Shanghai Pudong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shanghai Pudong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shanghai Pudong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Shanghai Pudong Short Properties

Shanghai Pudong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shanghai Pudong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shanghai Pudong Development often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shanghai Pudong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Pudong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments968.1 B

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Pudong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Pudong security.