Xiamen East Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

301028 Stock   15.71  0.02  0.13%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xiamen East Asia on the next trading day is expected to be 15.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.16. Xiamen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xiamen East stock prices and determine the direction of Xiamen East Asia's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xiamen East's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Xiamen East's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xiamen East's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xiamen East Asia, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xiamen East's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.062
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.099
Using Xiamen East hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xiamen East Asia from the perspective of Xiamen East response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xiamen East Asia on the next trading day is expected to be 15.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.16.

Xiamen East after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 15.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xiamen East to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Xiamen East's Cash is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 1.9 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.7 B.

Xiamen East Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xiamen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xiamen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xiamen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Xiamen East is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Xiamen East Asia value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Xiamen East Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xiamen East Asia on the next trading day is expected to be 15.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xiamen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xiamen East's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xiamen East Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Xiamen EastXiamen East Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Xiamen East Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xiamen East's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xiamen East's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.39 and 18.35, respectively. We have considered Xiamen East's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.71
15.87
Expected Value
18.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xiamen East stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xiamen East stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3329
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3305
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors20.1586
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Xiamen East Asia. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Xiamen East. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Xiamen East

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiamen East Asia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1815.6618.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4114.8917.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1814.6316.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiamen East. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiamen East's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiamen East's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiamen East Asia.

Other Forecasting Options for Xiamen East

For every potential investor in Xiamen, whether a beginner or expert, Xiamen East's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xiamen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xiamen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xiamen East's price trends.

Xiamen East Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xiamen East stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xiamen East could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xiamen East by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xiamen East Asia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xiamen East's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xiamen East's current price.

Xiamen East Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xiamen East stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xiamen East shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xiamen East stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xiamen East Asia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xiamen East Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xiamen East's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xiamen East's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xiamen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Xiamen Stock

Xiamen East financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiamen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiamen with respect to the benefits of owning Xiamen East security.