PNC Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 0KEF Stock | 230.96 1.59 0.69% |
PNC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of PNC Financial's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling PNC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.294 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Using PNC Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PNC Financial Services from the perspective of PNC Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PNC Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 230.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.24. PNC Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 231.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PNC |
PNC Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PNC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PNC using various technical indicators. When you analyze PNC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PNC Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PNC Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 230.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40, mean absolute percentage error of 9.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PNC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PNC Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PNC Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PNC Financial | PNC Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PNC Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PNC Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PNC Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 229.54 and 232.38, respectively. We have considered PNC Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PNC Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PNC Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5557 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.6537 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.404 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 144.24 |
Predictive Modules for PNC Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PNC Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PNC Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PNC Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PNC Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PNC Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PNC Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PNC Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PNC Financial's historical news coverage. PNC Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 229.89 and 232.73, respectively. We have considered PNC Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PNC Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PNC Financial Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
PNC Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PNC Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PNC Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PNC Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.42 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
230.96 | 231.31 | 0.15 |
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PNC Financial Hype Timeline
PNC Financial Services is presently traded for 230.96on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.81. PNC is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 231.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 146.39%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on PNC Financial is about 63.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 230.15. The company reported the revenue of 34.11 B. Net Income was 5.86 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.32 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PNC Financial to cross-verify your projections.PNC Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PNC Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PNC Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how PNC Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PNC Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0J1G | Guidewire Software | (13.49) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 3.14 | (6.66) | 12.86 | |
| ALFA | Alfa Financial Software | (3.00) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.18 | (1.89) | 8.60 | |
| 0LJE | Universal Display Corp | 0.78 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.36 | (4.46) | 12.25 | |
| FEVR | Fevertree Drinks Plc | 10.00 | 3 per month | 1.14 | 0.16 | 2.47 | (2.06) | 9.03 | |
| 0QYJ | Salesforce | (17.55) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.11 | (4.53) | 13.10 | |
| 0RDI | Vitec Software Group | 7.80 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.49 | (4.71) | 20.16 | |
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels Group | (0.20) | 6 per month | 0.99 | 0.06 | 2.77 | (1.66) | 7.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for PNC Financial
For every potential investor in PNC, whether a beginner or expert, PNC Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PNC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PNC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PNC Financial's price trends.PNC Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PNC Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PNC Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PNC Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PNC Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PNC Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PNC Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PNC Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PNC Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PNC Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of PNC Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PNC Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pnc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8649 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.748 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PNC Financial
The number of cover stories for PNC Financial depends on current market conditions and PNC Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PNC Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PNC Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for PNC Stock Analysis
When running PNC Financial's price analysis, check to measure PNC Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PNC Financial is operating at the current time. Most of PNC Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PNC Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PNC Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PNC Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.