MLS Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 002745 Stock | 10.61 0.11 1.05% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MLS Co on the next trading day is expected to be 10.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.50. MLS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MLS stock prices and determine the direction of MLS Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MLS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of MLS's stock price is about 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling MLS, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7 | Wall Street Target Price 9.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Using MLS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MLS Co from the perspective of MLS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MLS Co on the next trading day is expected to be 10.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.50. MLS after-hype prediction price | CNY 10.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MLS |
MLS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MLS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MLS using various technical indicators. When you analyze MLS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MLS Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MLS Co on the next trading day is expected to be 10.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MLS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MLS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MLS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MLS | MLS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MLS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MLS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MLS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.51 and 12.99, respectively. We have considered MLS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MLS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MLS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9698 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1856 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.5044 |
Predictive Modules for MLS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MLS Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MLS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MLS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MLS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MLS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MLS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MLS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MLS's historical news coverage. MLS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.39 and 12.83, respectively. We have considered MLS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MLS is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MLS Co is based on 3 months time horizon.
MLS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MLS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MLS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MLS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.24 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.61 | 10.61 | 0.00 |
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MLS Hype Timeline
MLS Co is presently traded for 10.61on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MLS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on MLS is about 4977.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.62. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.18. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. MLS Co last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 11th of April 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MLS to cross-verify your projections.MLS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MLS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MLS's future price movements. Getting to know how MLS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MLS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 000635 | Ningxia Younglight Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.07 | 3.83 | (2.97) | 18.79 | |
| 600715 | Cultural Investment Holdings | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.76 | (2.64) | 8.87 | |
| 000609 | Beijing Mainstreets Investment | (0.44) | 2 per month | 3.50 | 0.19 | 5.05 | (5.01) | 10.15 | |
| 002761 | Zhejiang Construction Investment | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.53 | (2.03) | 5.81 | |
| 300363 | Porton Fine Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.00 | 5.54 | (3.91) | 12.36 | |
| 000526 | Xiamen Insight Investment | 0.28 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.86 | (3.21) | 10.09 | |
| 600110 | Nuode Investment Co | 0.28 | 1 per month | 3.09 | 0.04 | 5.43 | (3.81) | 16.52 | |
| 000895 | Henan Shuanghui Investment | 0.26 | 1 per month | 0.75 | (0.10) | 1.29 | (1.02) | 4.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for MLS
For every potential investor in MLS, whether a beginner or expert, MLS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MLS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MLS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MLS's price trends.MLS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MLS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MLS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MLS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MLS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MLS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MLS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MLS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MLS Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MLS Risk Indicators
The analysis of MLS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MLS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mls stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MLS
The number of cover stories for MLS depends on current market conditions and MLS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MLS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MLS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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MLS Short Properties
MLS's future price predictability will typically decrease when MLS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MLS Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MLS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MLS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in MLS Stock
MLS financial ratios help investors to determine whether MLS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MLS with respect to the benefits of owning MLS security.