Kuangda Technology Stock Forward View
| 002516 Stock | 6.85 0.07 1.03% |
Kuangda Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kuangda Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Kuangda Technology Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kuangda Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Kuangda Technology's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kuangda Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kuangda Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kuangda Technology Group from the perspective of Kuangda Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kuangda Technology Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42. Kuangda Technology after-hype prediction price | CNY 6.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kuangda |
Kuangda Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kuangda price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kuangda using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kuangda charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kuangda Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kuangda Technology Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kuangda Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kuangda Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kuangda Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kuangda Technology | Kuangda Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kuangda Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kuangda Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kuangda Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.15 and 8.28, respectively. We have considered Kuangda Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kuangda Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kuangda Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0422 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1052 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.4171 |
Predictive Modules for Kuangda Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuangda Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kuangda Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kuangda Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kuangda Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kuangda Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kuangda Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kuangda Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kuangda Technology's historical news coverage. Kuangda Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.29 and 8.41, respectively. We have considered Kuangda Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kuangda Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kuangda Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kuangda Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kuangda Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kuangda Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kuangda Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.85 | 6.85 | 0.00 |
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Kuangda Technology Hype Timeline
Kuangda Technology is presently traded for 6.85on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kuangda is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kuangda Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.85. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Kuangda Technology was presently reported as 2.56. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2025. Kuangda Technology had 20:10 split on the 27th of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kuangda Technology to cross-verify your projections.Kuangda Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kuangda Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kuangda Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Kuangda Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kuangda Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688122 | Western Superconducting Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.40 | (0) | 4.95 | (5.52) | 24.28 | |
| 002185 | Tianshui Huatian Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.1 | 3.68 | (3.47) | 16.66 | |
| 605299 | Shuhua Sports Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.38 | 0.08 | 10.03 | (3.86) | 20.05 | |
| 600158 | China Sports Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.01 | 3.02 | (2.93) | 12.87 | |
| 300143 | INKON Life Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.03 | 2.95 | (2.33) | 20.22 | |
| 301091 | Shenzhen Urban Transport | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.40 | (3.23) | 9.80 | |
| 300098 | Gosuncn Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.06 | 5.05 | (4.15) | 12.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kuangda Technology
For every potential investor in Kuangda, whether a beginner or expert, Kuangda Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kuangda Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kuangda. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kuangda Technology's price trends.Kuangda Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kuangda Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kuangda Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kuangda Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kuangda Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kuangda Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kuangda Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kuangda Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kuangda Technology Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kuangda Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kuangda Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kuangda Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kuangda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kuangda Technology
The number of cover stories for Kuangda Technology depends on current market conditions and Kuangda Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kuangda Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kuangda Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kuangda Technology Short Properties
Kuangda Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kuangda Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kuangda Technology Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kuangda Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kuangda Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 895.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Kuangda Stock
Kuangda Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kuangda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kuangda with respect to the benefits of owning Kuangda Technology security.